# Storm v Raiders — NRL Round 16 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Storm v Raiders
Sun, 21 June, 04:05 pm AEST · AAMI Park · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.38 (edge +4.3%) — model probability 73.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 11 · Predicted total: 48

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Storm | Stat | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 29.6pts | Avg Score | 15.6pts |
| 17.6pts | Avg Conceded | 22.6pts |
| 12.0pts | Avg Margin | -7.0pts |
| 1705.0m | Run Metres | 1742.6m |
| 5.4 | Line Breaks | 4.2 |
| 300.0 | Tackles | 300.0 |
| 12.0 | Errors | 12.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Storm | R10 W · R11 W · R12 L · R13 W · R14 W | 29.6 |
| Raiders | R10 L · R12 L · R13 W · R14 L · R15 L | 15.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-21 07:59 UTC (latest tip update)