# Knights v Dragons — NRL Round 16 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Knights v Dragons
Fri, 19 June, 08:00 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 16

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $1.24 (edge -10.0%) — model probability 76.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Knights -12.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Knights 13+ @ $3.20 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Knights by 14 · Predicted total: 47

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Knights | Stat | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 36.0pts | Avg Score | 14.0pts |
| 22.8pts | Avg Conceded | 32.4pts |
| 13.2pts | Avg Margin | -18.4pts |
| 1492.0m | Run Metres | 1576.8m |
| 9.0 | Line Breaks | 2.0 |
| 291.0 | Tackles | 300.0 |
| 12.0 | Errors | 12.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Knights | R9 W · R10 W · R11 W · R13 W · R14 L | 36.0 |
| Dragons | R10 L · R11 L · R12 L · R13 W · R14 L | 14.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-19 11:53 UTC (latest tip update)