# Sharks v Dragons — NRL Round 14 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Sharks v Dragons
Sun, 07 June, 04:05 pm AEST · Ocean Protect Stadium · Round 14

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.28 (edge -1.1%) — model probability 73.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -11.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Sharks 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 12 · Predicted total: 49

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Sharks | Stat | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 32.8pts | Avg Score | 14.8pts |
| 26.0pts | Avg Conceded | 38.0pts |
| 6.8pts | Avg Margin | -23.2pts |
| 1683.0m | Run Metres | 1576.8m |
| 5.0 | Line Breaks | 2.0 |
| 332.4 | Tackles | 370.6 |
| 10.8 | Errors | 12.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Sharks | R8 L · R9 W · R10 L · R11 W · R13 W | 32.8 |
| Dragons | R8 L · R10 L · R11 L · R12 L · R13 W | 14.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-06-07 07:53 UTC (latest tip update)