# Dragons v Warriors — NRL Round 12 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dragons v Warriors
Sat, 23 May, 05:30 pm AEST · Jubilee Stadium · Round 12

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.23 (edge -16.4%) — model probability 61.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Warriors 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 11 · Predicted total: 53

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dragons | Stat | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 12.4pts | Avg Score | 32.8pts |
| 38.4pts | Avg Conceded | 15.6pts |
| -26.0pts | Avg Margin | 17.2pts |
| 1492.8m | Run Metres | 1692.0m |
| 3.0 | Line Breaks | 7.2 |
| 382.6 | Tackles | 319.8 |
| 11.6 | Errors | 9.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dragons | R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R10 L · R11 L | 12.4 |
| Warriors | R6 W · R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R11 W | 32.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r12-dragons-v-warriors
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:28 UTC