# Roosters v Cowboys — NRL Round 11 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Roosters v Cowboys
Sat, 16 May, 05:30 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.18 (edge -9.4%) — model probability 71.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys +15.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 57.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 9 · Predicted total: 46

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Roosters | Stat | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 40.0pts | Avg Score | 29.0pts |
| 19.6pts | Avg Conceded | 29.6pts |
| 20.4pts | Avg Margin | -0.6pts |
| 1866.8m | Run Metres | 1893.6m |
| 5.6 | Line Breaks | 7.6 |
| 307.2 | Tackles | 351.4 |
| 12.4 | Errors | 13.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Roosters | R6 W · R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 W | 40.0 |
| Cowboys | R6 W · R7 L · R8 W · R9 W · R10 L | 29.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r11-roosters-v-cowboys
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-27 21:10 UTC