AI Win Probability
Panthers
78%
Dragons
22%
AI Match Overview
Panthers are clear favourites here at 78%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Dragons. The model sees Panthers ahead on 7 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Panthers carry a 223-point ELO rating advantage (1723 vs 1500). Recent form favours Panthers with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 0 for Dragons. The margin model predicts Panthers by 13.2 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Panthers to Win @1.04
Edge
-13.1%
Line / Spread
Dragons +27.5 @1.91
Edge
+0.0%
Margin Band
Panthers 13+ @3.20
Edge
+0.0%
Total Points
Under 57.5 @1.91
Edge
+0.0%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Panthers | W W W W L | 30.2 |
Dragons | L L L L L | 0.0 |
Avg Conceded
18.4
Panthers
0.0
Dragons
Avg Margin
11.8
Panthers
0.0
Dragons
Run Metres
1875
Panthers
0
Dragons
Line Breaks
6.8
Panthers
0.0
Dragons
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
78%
Panthers predicted to win by 13 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: +13.2
Anytime Try Scorer
Model probability vs Sportsbet overlay, ranked by edge.
First Try Scorer
Team-normalised first-try share using the current lineups and opposition defence profile.