# Panthers v Dragons — NRL Round 11 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Panthers v Dragons
Sun, 17 May, 06:25 pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.04 (edge -13.1%) — model probability 78.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +27.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Panthers 13+ @ $3.20 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 57.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 13 · Predicted total: 45

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Panthers | Stat | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 0.0 |
| 26.2pts | Avg Score | 11.2pts |
| 20.0pts | Avg Conceded | 39.2pts |
| 6.2pts | Avg Margin | -28.0pts |
| 1849.2m | Run Metres | 1476.6m |
| 6.0 | Line Breaks | 2.8 |
| 359.6 | Tackles | 374.6 |
| 12.8 | Errors | 11.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Panthers | R6 L · R7 W · R8 W · R9 W · R10 W | 26.2 |
| Dragons | R5 L · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R10 L | 11.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r11-panthers-v-dragons
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-27 21:08 UTC