# Dragons v Knights — NRL Round 10 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dragons v Knights
Sat, 09 May, 03:00 pm AEST · WIN Stadium · Round 10
Today JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today
Weekly JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 33.1% / Knights 66.9%
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $1.35 (edge -3.6%) — model probability 66.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons +9.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Knights 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Knights by 7
- Predicted total points: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r10-dragons-v-knights

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dragons | Stat | Knights |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 12.0pts | Avg Score | 26.4pts |
| 34.8pts | Avg Conceded | 34.8pts |
| -22.8pts | Avg Margin | -8.4pts |
| 1517.2m | Run Metres | 1481.8m |
| 3.0 | Line Breaks | 5.0 |
| 375.2 | Tackles | 349.0 |
| 11.0 | Errors | 11.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dragons | R4 L · R5 L · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L | 12.0 |
| Knights | R5 W · R6 L · R7 L · R8 L · R9 W | 26.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r10-dragons-v-knights
Markdown view for AI agents. Full machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · Complete reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-06-22 08:47 UTC