# Warriors v Roosters — NRL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Warriors v Roosters
Fri, 06 Mar, 06:00 pm AEDT · Go Media Stadium · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.51 (edge -2.4%) — model probability 60.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Roosters 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 3 · Predicted total: 41

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Warriors | Stat | Roosters |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 20.4pts | Avg Score | 25.6pts |
| 21.0pts | Avg Conceded | 15.6pts |
| -0.6pts | Avg Margin | 10.0pts |
| 1743.4m | Run Metres | 1532.2m |
| 4.4 | Line Breaks | 5.4 |
| 359.4 | Tackles | 316.2 |
| 11.6 | Errors | 14.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Warriors | R24 W · R25 W · R26 L · R27 L · R28 L | 20.4 |
| Roosters | R24 W · R25 L · R26 W · R27 W · R28 L | 25.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r1-warriors-v-roosters
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:30 UTC