# Storm v Eels — NRL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Storm v Eels
Thu, 05 Mar, 08:00 pm AEDT · AAMI Park · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.42 (edge +5.0%) — model probability 72.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Storm 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 6 · Predicted total: 45

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Storm | Stat | Eels |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 4.0 |
| 18.4pts | Avg Score | 31.4pts |
| 23.2pts | Avg Conceded | 16.0pts |
| -4.8pts | Avg Margin | 15.4pts |
| 1500.0m | Run Metres | 1693.8m |
| 3.8 | Line Breaks | 5.4 |
| 335.8 | Tackles | 322.4 |
| 10.4 | Errors | 10.6 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Storm | R25 W · R26 L · R27 L · R28 W · R30 W | 18.4 |
| Eels | R23 W · R24 L · R25 W · R26 W · R27 W | 31.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r1-storm-v-eels
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC