# Knights v Cowboys — NRL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Knights v Cowboys
Sun, 01 Mar, 01:15 pm AEDT · Allegiant Stadium · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $2.41 (edge +11.4%) — model probability 50.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Cowboys 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.8 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 2 · Predicted total: 43

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Knights | Stat | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 10.8pts | Avg Score | 26.4pts |
| 47.6pts | Avg Conceded | 24.2pts |
| -36.8pts | Avg Margin | 2.2pts |
| 1335.8m | Run Metres | 1685.0m |
| 3.4 | Line Breaks | 3.2 |
| 369.6 | Tackles | 331.2 |
| 12.6 | Errors | 13.0 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Knights | R23 L · R24 L · R25 L · R26 L · R27 L | 10.8 |
| Cowboys | R22 L · R23 L · R24 W · R25 W · R26 L | 26.4 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r1-knights-v-cowboys
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:31 UTC