# Dolphins v Rabbitohs — NRL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dolphins v Rabbitohs
Sun, 08 Mar, 04:05 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Rabbitohs to win @ $2.00 (edge +3.4%) — model probability 51.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Rabbitohs +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dolphins 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 1 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dolphins | Stat | Rabbitohs |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 33.6pts | Avg Score | 20.0pts |
| 42.8pts | Avg Conceded | 26.0pts |
| -9.2pts | Avg Margin | -6.0pts |
| 1611.8m | Run Metres | 1570.0m |
| 7.6 | Line Breaks | 4.2 |
| 310.2 | Tackles | 323.6 |
| 10.6 | Errors | 8.2 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | R23 L · R24 L · R25 L · R26 W · R27 W | 33.6 |
| Rabbitohs | R22 L · R23 W · R24 W · R25 W · R27 L | 20.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r1-dolphins-v-rabbitohs
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:28 UTC