# Bulldogs v Dragons — NRL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Bulldogs v Dragons
Sun, 01 Mar, 03:30 pm AEDT · Allegiant Stadium · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.38 (edge +6.4%) — model probability 75.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Bulldogs 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 8 · Predicted total: 42

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Bulldogs | Stat | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 1.0 |
| 18.4pts | Avg Score | 15.2pts |
| 24.0pts | Avg Conceded | 29.6pts |
| -5.6pts | Avg Margin | -14.4pts |
| 1652.2m | Run Metres | 1562.0m |
| 6.2 | Line Breaks | 3.6 |
| 365.2 | Tackles | 392.2 |
| 11.6 | Errors | 8.4 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs | R25 L · R26 W · R27 L · R28 L · R29 L | 18.4 |
| Dragons | R23 W · R24 L · R25 L · R26 L · R27 L | 15.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r1-bulldogs-v-dragons
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:31 UTC