# Broncos v Panthers — NRL Round 1 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Broncos v Panthers
Fri, 06 Mar, 08:00 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.70 (edge +20.0%) — model probability 56.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Broncos 1-12 @ $2.55 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 4 · Predicted total: 40

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Broncos | Stat | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| 5.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 31.8pts | Avg Score | 25.6pts |
| 19.6pts | Avg Conceded | 19.6pts |
| 12.2pts | Avg Margin | 6.0pts |
| 1795.6m | Run Metres | 1675.6m |
| 7.2 | Line Breaks | 5.2 |
| 350.4 | Tackles | 366.2 |
| 10.4 | Errors | 11.8 |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos | R25 W · R26 W · R27 W · R28 W · R30 W | 31.8 |
| Panthers | R26 L · R27 W · R28 W · R29 W · R30 L | 25.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r1-broncos-v-panthers
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:27 UTC