AI Referee Insights
Liam Kennedy officiated this match (59 career games). The combined score of 56 points was 11 points above Liam Kennedy's career average of 45. Panthers's victory aligns with Liam Kennedy's historical trend — Panthers have a 33% win rate under this referee.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Panthers to win at 72% probability. The margin model was sharp — predicting Panthers by 7.5 vs the actual margin of 4 points. A clean sweep — all 3 model picks hit for this match.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Titans
28%
Panthers
72%
AI Match Overview
Panthers are clear favourites here at 72%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Titans. The model sees Panthers ahead on 5 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Panthers carry a 311-point ELO rating advantage (1614 vs 1303). Recent form favours Panthers with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Titans. The margin model predicts Panthers by 7.5 points with a combined total of 48.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
Each market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Panthers to Win @1.24
Winner ✓
Edge
-11.0%
Line / Spread
Panthers +12.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
-11.0%
Total Points
Over 47.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
-1.5%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Titans | WLLLL | 20.4 |
Panthers | WWWWW | 26.8 |
Avg Conceded
25.8
Titans
9.2
Panthers
Avg Margin
-5.4
Titans
17.6
Panthers
Run Metres
1640
Titans
1854
Panthers
Line Breaks
3.8
Titans
6.2
Panthers
Each team's win rate when Liam Kennedy refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
Panthers hold a 10‑point edge: 1W–2L (33%) vs Titans's 3W–10L (23%) across all games Liam Kennedy has refereed for each side. His games average 45.1 pts, sitting close to the league average. Note: Based on a limited sample of 3 games for Panthers — interpret with caution.
Avg Total
45.1 pts
Home Win %
53%
Home Bias
Neutral
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
72%
Panthers predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 48 · Line: -7.5
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