AI Referee Insights
Adam Gee officiated this match (287 career games). The 44-point combined total was right in line with Adam Gee's career average of 43. Sharks's victory aligns with Adam Gee's historical trend — Sharks have a 71% win rate under this referee. Sharks's home victory fits Adam Gee's profile — home teams win 57% of the time under this referee.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Sharks to win at 72% probability. The predicted margin of 8.2 was reasonable against the actual 20-point result. Total score prediction of 42 was close to the actual 44 — within 2 points. A clean sweep — all 3 model picks hit for this match.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Sharks
72%
Cowboys
28%
AI Match Overview
Sharks are clear favourites here at 72%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Cowboys. The model sees Sharks ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Backline Quality and Halves Control. Sharks carry a 162-point ELO rating advantage (1554 vs 1393). Recent form favours Sharks with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Cowboys. The margin model predicts Sharks by 8.2 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Sharks to Win @1.38
Winner ✓
Edge
-1.8%
Line / Spread
Sharks -7.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
-1.8%
Total Points
Under 45.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+10.4%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Sharks | WWWLL | 20.6 |
Cowboys | WWLLL | 24.0 |
Avg Conceded
21.2
Sharks
27.4
Cowboys
Avg Margin
-0.6
Sharks
-3.4
Cowboys
Run Metres
1721
Sharks
1716
Cowboys
Line Breaks
4.8
Sharks
5.8
Cowboys
Each team's win rate when Adam Gee refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
When Adam Gee officiates, Sharks have won 29 of 41 games (71%) vs any opponent — significantly stronger than Cowboys's 21 from 39 (54%). That's a 17‑point gap across all seasons. His games average 42.7 pts, sitting close to the league average. Home teams win 57% of his matches (vs ~52% league avg), which could give Sharks an additional edge at home.
Avg Total
42.7 pts
Home Win %
57%
Home Bias
Leans home
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
72%
Sharks predicted to win by 8 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +8.2
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