# Dragons v Raiders — NRL Round 22 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dragons v Raiders
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · WIN Stadium · Round 22

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.45 (edge -5.3%) — model probability 65.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.3%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 4 · Predicted total: 47

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dragons | Stat | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 26.4pts | Avg Score | 30.0pts |
| 27.4pts | Avg Conceded | 17.6pts |
| -1.0pts | Avg Margin | 12.4pts |
| 1704.8m | Run Metres | 1812.8m |
| 4.8 | Line Breaks | 6.6 |
| 332.6 | Tackles | 338.8 |
| 8.8 | Errors | 9.8 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dragons | 1W–4L | 26.4 |
| Raiders | 5W–0L | 30.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r22-dragons-v-raiders
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:27 UTC