AI Referee Insights
Wyatt Raymond officiated this match (40 career games). The combined score of 62 points was 12 points above Wyatt Raymond's career average of 50. Raiders's victory aligns with Wyatt Raymond's historical trend — Raiders have a 100% win rate under this referee. Raiders's home victory fits Wyatt Raymond's profile — home teams win 57% of the time under this referee.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Raiders to win at 74% probability. The margin model missed here — predicting 9.7 but the actual margin was 26 points. The game's 62 points came in 21 points higher than the predicted 42. The model went 2/3 on this match. The 1-12 margin band call landed.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Raiders
74%
Knights
26%
AI Match Overview
Raiders are clear favourites here at 74%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Knights. The model sees Raiders ahead on 6 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Backline Quality. Raiders carry a 292-point ELO rating advantage (1666 vs 1375). Recent form favours Raiders with 5 wins from their last 5 compared to 1 for Knights. The margin model predicts Raiders by 9.7 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Raiders to Win @1.20
Winner ✓
Edge
-11.0%
Line / Spread
Raiders -13.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
-11.0%
Total Points
Under 44.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+7.6%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Raiders | WWWWW | 28.4 |
Knights | WLLLL | 16.2 |
Avg Conceded
16.4
Raiders
21.2
Knights
Avg Margin
12.0
Raiders
-5.0
Knights
Run Metres
1849
Raiders
1762
Knights
Line Breaks
6.6
Raiders
4.2
Knights
Each team's win rate when Wyatt Raymond refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
When Wyatt Raymond officiates, Raiders have won 4 of 4 games (100%) vs any opponent — significantly stronger than Knights's 1 from 4 (25%). That's a 75‑point gap across all seasons. His games average 49.9 pts — above the league norm — suggesting he lets the game flow, which can benefit attacking sides. Home teams win 57% of his matches (vs ~52% league avg), which could give Raiders an additional edge at home. Note: Based on a limited sample of 4 games for Raiders — interpret with caution.
Avg Total
49.9 pts
Home Win %
57%
Home Bias
Leans home
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
74%
Raiders predicted to win by 10 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +9.7
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