AI Referee Insights
Belinda Sharpe officiated this match (21 career games). The 41-point combined total was right in line with Belinda Sharpe's career average of 40.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Wests Tigers to win at 61% probability. The predicted margin of 5.4 was reasonable against the actual 1-point result. Total score prediction of 46 was close to the actual 41 — within 5 points. Wests Tigers trailed 12–14 at half-time before staging a second-half comeback to win 21–20. A clean sweep — all 3 model picks hit for this match.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Wests Tigers
61%
Titans
39%
AI Match Overview
Wests Tigers hold the advantage at 61% win probability, though Titans are far from out of this at 39%. The model sees Wests Tigers ahead on 3 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Forward Pack and Halves Control. Wests Tigers carry a 40-point ELO rating advantage (1317 vs 1277). The margin model predicts Wests Tigers by 5.4 points with a combined total of 46.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Wests Tigers to Win @1.53
Winner ✓
Edge
+1.3%
Line / Spread
Wests Tigers -5.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+1.3%
Total Points
Under 49.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+10.5%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Wests Tigers | WLLLL | 16.0 |
Titans | WLLLL | 20.0 |
Avg Conceded
24.8
Wests Tigers
28.8
Titans
Avg Margin
-8.8
Wests Tigers
-8.8
Titans
Run Metres
1567
Wests Tigers
1675
Titans
Line Breaks
3.2
Wests Tigers
4.0
Titans
Each team's win rate when Belinda Sharpe refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
Both sides have a similar record when Belinda Sharpe officiates — Wests Tigers 1W–3L (25%) and Titans 1W–3L (25%) across all their respective games. No significant bias detected. His games average 40.3 pts, sitting close to the league average. Note: Based on a limited sample of 4 games for Wests Tigers — interpret with caution.
Avg Total
40.3 pts
Home Win %
48%
Home Bias
Neutral
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
61%
Wests Tigers predicted to win by 5 points
Predicted total: 46 · Line: +5.4
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