AI Referee Insights
Wyatt Raymond officiated this match (40 career games). The 54-point combined total was right in line with Wyatt Raymond's career average of 50. Raiders's victory aligns with Wyatt Raymond's historical trend — Raiders have a 100% win rate under this referee. Raiders's home victory fits Wyatt Raymond's profile — home teams win 57% of the time under this referee.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Raiders defied the model's 66% prediction for Broncos — a notable upset. The margin model missed here — predicting 5.6 but the actual margin was 10 points. A tough result for the model — all 3 picks missed on this one.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Raiders
34%
Broncos
66%
AI Match Overview
Broncos are clear favourites here at 66%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Raiders. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Recent form favours Raiders with 4 wins from their last 5 compared to 3 for Broncos. The margin model predicts Broncos by 5.6 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Broncos to Win @1.27
Lost ✗
Edge
-13.6%
Line / Spread
Broncos +11.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
-13.6%
Total Points
Under 50.5 @1.91
Lost ✗
Edge
+15.3%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Raiders | WWWWL | 19.2 |
Broncos | WWWLL | 28.0 |
Avg Conceded
20.8
Raiders
29.2
Broncos
Avg Margin
-1.6
Raiders
-1.2
Broncos
Run Metres
1611
Raiders
1594
Broncos
Line Breaks
3.0
Raiders
5.6
Broncos
Each team's win rate when Wyatt Raymond refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
When Wyatt Raymond officiates, Raiders have won 4 of 4 games (100%) vs any opponent — significantly stronger than Broncos's 2 from 3 (67%). That's a 33‑point gap across all seasons. His games average 50.1 pts — above the league norm — suggesting he lets the game flow, which can benefit attacking sides. Home teams win 57% of his matches (vs ~52% league avg), which could give Raiders an additional edge at home. Note: Based on a limited sample of 3 games for Broncos — interpret with caution.
Avg Total
50.1 pts
Home Win %
57%
Home Bias
Leans home
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
66%
Broncos predicted to win by 6 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: -5.6
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