AI Referee Insights
Liam Kennedy officiated this match (59 career games). The 48-point combined total was right in line with Liam Kennedy's career average of 45. Sharks's victory aligns with Liam Kennedy's historical trend — Sharks have a 67% win rate under this referee.
Based on referee career statistics • Post-match analysis
AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Sharks to win at 71% probability. The margin model missed here — predicting 3.8 but the actual margin was 24 points. Total score prediction of 45 was close to the actual 48 — within 3 points. Sharks led 6–16 at the break and pulled away in the second half to win by 24. A clean sweep — all 3 model picks hit for this match.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Cowboys
29%
Sharks
71%
AI Match Overview
Sharks are clear favourites here at 71%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Cowboys. Both sides are evenly matched across the key prediction factors, which explains the tight margin between them. Recent form favours Cowboys with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Sharks. The margin model predicts Sharks by 3.8 points with a combined total of 45.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Sharks to Win @1.48
Winner ✓
Edge
-2.8%
Line / Spread
Sharks +6.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
-2.8%
Total Points
Under 50.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+14.7%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Cowboys | WWWLL | 28.0 |
Sharks | WWLLL | 20.8 |
Avg Conceded
24.0
Cowboys
25.8
Sharks
Avg Margin
4.0
Cowboys
-5.0
Sharks
Run Metres
1778
Cowboys
1653
Sharks
Line Breaks
5.4
Cowboys
5.2
Sharks
Each team's win rate when Liam Kennedy refs their game (vs any opponent, all seasons)
When Liam Kennedy officiates, Sharks have won 2 of 3 games (67%) vs any opponent — significantly stronger than Cowboys's 3 from 9 (33%). That's a 34‑point gap across all seasons. His games average 45.2 pts, sitting close to the league average. Note: Based on a limited sample of 3 games for Sharks — interpret with caution.
Avg Total
45.2 pts
Home Win %
53%
Home Bias
Neutral
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
71%
Sharks predicted to win by 4 points
Predicted total: 45 · Line: -3.8
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