# Dragons v Eels — NRL Round 17 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dragons v Eels
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · WIN Stadium · Round 17

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Dragons to win @ $1.63 (edge +3.4%) — model probability 62.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +3.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +6.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dragons by 4 · Predicted total: 44

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dragons | Stat | Eels |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 17.6pts | Avg Score | 23.2pts |
| 26.6pts | Avg Conceded | 16.8pts |
| -9.0pts | Avg Margin | 6.4pts |
| 1604.6m | Run Metres | 1740.6m |
| 3.8 | Line Breaks | 5.2 |
| 380.6 | Tackles | 365.4 |
| 10.0 | Errors | 12.0 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dragons | 2W–3L | 17.6 |
| Eels | 3W–2L | 23.2 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r17-dragons-v-eels
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC