# Dolphins v Dragons — NRL Round 14 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dolphins v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 14

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.60 (edge -6.1%) — model probability 61.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge -6.1%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +13.9%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 6 · Predicted total: 42

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dolphins | Stat | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 2.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 26.0pts | Avg Score | 22.0pts |
| 23.2pts | Avg Conceded | 25.4pts |
| 2.8pts | Avg Margin | -3.4pts |
| 1653.2m | Run Metres | 1690.4m |
| 4.2 | Line Breaks | 5.6 |
| 367.2 | Tackles | 362.0 |
| 10.4 | Errors | 11.4 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dolphins | 2W–3L | 26.0 |
| Dragons | 2W–3L | 22.0 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r14-dolphins-v-dragons
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:28 UTC