# Broncos v Dragons — NRL Round 11 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Broncos v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 11

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.30 (edge -9.6%) — model probability 68.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge -9.6%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +14.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 9 · Predicted total: 45

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Broncos | Stat | Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 19.6pts | Avg Score | 23.6pts |
| 23.6pts | Avg Conceded | 25.8pts |
| -4.0pts | Avg Margin | -2.2pts |
| 1540.6m | Run Metres | 1733.0m |
| 4.8 | Line Breaks | 7.2 |
| 355.4 | Tackles | 361.4 |
| 11.2 | Errors | 12.6 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 1W–4L | 19.6 |
| Dragons | 2W–3L | 23.6 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r11-broncos-v-dragons
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:29 UTC