# Dragons v Bulldogs — NRL Round 1 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

### Dragons v Bulldogs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Jubilee Stadium · Round 1

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.30 (edge -9.6%) — model probability 50.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs +8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -9.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +13.2%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 3 · Predicted total: 45

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Dragons | Stat | Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 2.0 |
| 23.2pts | Avg Score | 22.8pts |
| 30.4pts | Avg Conceded | 26.0pts |
| -7.2pts | Avg Margin | -3.2pts |
| 1694.2m | Run Metres | 1661.6m |
| 4.4 | Line Breaks | 4.0 |
| 360.2 | Tackles | 346.4 |
| 12.4 | Errors | 10.6 |

### Form & History

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Dragons | 1W–4L | 23.2 |
| Bulldogs | 2W–3L | 22.8 |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r1-dragons-v-bulldogs
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
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Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:31 UTC