AI Game Review
Our model correctly predicted Storm to win at 69% probability. The margin model was sharp — predicting Storm by 7.0 vs the actual margin of 8 points. Total score prediction of 42 was close to the actual 44 — within 2 points. A clean sweep — all 3 model picks hit for this match.
Model vs actual outcomes • Post-match analysis
Win Probability
AI Win Probability
Storm
69%
Bulldogs
31%
AI Match Overview
Storm are clear favourites here at 69%, with our model expecting a comfortable victory over Bulldogs. The model sees Storm ahead on 4 of 7 key factors including ELO Difference, Recent Win Rate and Referee Tendency. Storm carry a 93-point ELO rating advantage (1635 vs 1542). Recent form favours Storm with 3 wins from their last 5 compared to 2 for Bulldogs. The margin model predicts Storm by 7.0 points with a combined total of 42.
Generated from model features • Pre-kick-off analysis
Edge Analysis
1 ACTIVE EDGEEach market is predicted by an independent model — H2H, margin, and totals may occasionally disagree.
H2H Recommendation
Storm to Win @1.50
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.4%
Line / Spread
Storm -4.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+0.4%
Total Points
Over 37.5 @1.91
Winner ✓
Edge
+13.5%
Form & History
| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
Storm | WWWLL | 17.6 |
Bulldogs | WWLLL | 18.4 |
Avg Conceded
20.8
Storm
18.8
Bulldogs
Avg Margin
-3.2
Storm
-0.4
Bulldogs
Run Metres
1509
Storm
1501
Bulldogs
Line Breaks
3.6
Storm
6.4
Bulldogs
📊Team ELO Ratings
🏈Positional Matchups
Player ELO aggregated by position group — higher = stronger unit
📈Recent Form (Last 5)
🔑Key Prediction Factors
What the model weighted most in this prediction
Model Confidence
69%
Storm predicted to win by 7 points
Predicted total: 42 · Line: +7.0
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AI-powered try scorer predictions and player prop markets — built on our 6-model player stats engine.