# NRL Round 9 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 9 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 9 at a glance
- 8 matches · 12W–12L on 24 settled picks (50% strike rate) · best value +19.5% edge

## Round 9 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers v Broncos | Broncos @ $1.67 | Broncos 53% | LOST |
| Rabbitohs v Knights | Knights @ $2.15 | Knights 69% | WON |
| Titans v Bulldogs | Bulldogs @ $1.24 | Bulldogs 70% | WON |
| Storm v Raiders | Storm @ $1.50 | Storm 58% | LOST |
| Roosters v Dolphins | Roosters @ $1.85 | Roosters 53% | WON |
| Sharks v Eels | Sharks @ $1.48 | Sharks 67% | WON |
| Warriors v Cowboys | Cowboys @ $1.85 | Cowboys 54% | LOST |
| Wests Tigers v Dragons | Wests Tigers @ $1.90 | Wests Tigers 54% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Panthers v Broncos
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 46.6% / Broncos 53.4%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.67 (edge -12.8%) — model probability 53.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge -12.8%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +10.3%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 3 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r9-panthers-v-broncos

### Rabbitohs v Knights
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 31.0% / Knights 69.0%
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $2.15 (edge +8.1%) — model probability 69.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Knights -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.1%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.2%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Knights by 7 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r9-rabbitohs-v-knights

### Titans v Bulldogs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 29.6% / Bulldogs 70.4%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.24 (edge -7.7%) — model probability 70.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs +12.5 @ $1.91 (edge -7.7%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +19.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 10 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r9-titans-v-bulldogs

### Storm v Raiders
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 58.3% / Raiders 41.8%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.50 (edge -8.4%) — model probability 58.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -8.4%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +14.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 4 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r9-storm-v-raiders

### Roosters v Dolphins
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 53.4% / Dolphins 46.6%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.85 (edge +2.6%) — model probability 53.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +10.2%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 5 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r9-roosters-v-dolphins

### Sharks v Eels
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 66.6% / Eels 33.4%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.48 (edge -1.4%) — model probability 66.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 5 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r9-sharks-v-eels

### Warriors v Cowboys
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 46.0% / Cowboys 54.0%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.85 (edge -5.2%) — model probability 54.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.2%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.3%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 4 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r9-warriors-v-cowboys

### Wests Tigers v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 9
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 54.3% / Dragons 45.7%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.90 (edge -60.0%) — model probability 54.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge -60.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +7.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dragons by 2 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r9-wests-tigers-v-dragons

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/8 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/8.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/10 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/10.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/9
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC