# NRL Round 8 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 8 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 8 at a glance
- 8 matches · 14W–10L on 24 settled picks (58% strike rate) · best value +35.2% edge

## Round 8 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wests Tigers v Sharks | Sharks @ $1.45 | Sharks 62% | LOST |
| Cowboys v Titans | Cowboys @ $1.45 | Cowboys 72% | WON |
| Storm v Rabbitohs | Storm @ $1.17 | Storm 70% | WON |
| Roosters v Dragons | Roosters @ $1.90 | Roosters 60% | WON |
| Raiders v Dolphins | Raiders @ $1.56 | Raiders 61% | WON |
| Broncos v Bulldogs | Bulldogs @ $1.57 | Bulldogs 65% | LOST |
| Panthers v Sea Eagles | Panthers @ $1.36 | Panthers 60% | LOST |
| Warriors v Knights | Warriors @ $1.45 | Warriors 60% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Wests Tigers v Sharks
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Leichhardt Oval · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 38.0% / Sharks 62.0%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.45 (edge -5.1%) — model probability 62.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.1%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 25.5 @ $1.91 (edge +35.2%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 3
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r8-wests-tigers-v-sharks

### Cowboys v Titans
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 71.7% / Titans 28.3%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.45 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 71.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.8%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +19.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 8 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r8-cowboys-v-titans

### Storm v Rabbitohs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · AAMI Park · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 70.2% / Rabbitohs 29.8%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.17 (edge -13.8%) — model probability 70.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -16.5 @ $1.91 (edge -13.8%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +12.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 10 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r8-storm-v-rabbitohs

### Roosters v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Allianz Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 59.5% / Dragons 40.5%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.90 (edge +5.2%) — model probability 59.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.2%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +7.7%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 1 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r8-roosters-v-dragons

### Raiders v Dolphins
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · GIO Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 61.2% / Dolphins 38.8%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.56 (edge -5.5%) — model probability 61.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +7.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 6 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r8-raiders-v-dolphins

### Broncos v Bulldogs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 34.6% / Bulldogs 65.4%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.57 (edge +2.1%) — model probability 65.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs +4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.1%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge -2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 3 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r8-broncos-v-bulldogs

### Panthers v Sea Eagles
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 60.4% / Sea Eagles 39.6%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.36 (edge -5.0%) — model probability 60.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 6 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r8-panthers-v-sea-eagles

### Warriors v Knights
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Apollo Projects Stadium · Round 8
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 60.3% / Knights 39.7%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.45 (edge -11.6%) — model probability 60.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge -11.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +10.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 8 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r8-warriors-v-knights

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/7 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/7.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/9 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/9.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/8
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC