# NRL Round 7 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 7 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 7 at a glance
- 8 matches · 14W–10L on 24 settled picks (58% strike rate) · best value +30.9% edge

## Round 7 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins v Storm | Storm @ $1.25 | Storm 59% | LOST |
| Bulldogs v Rabbitohs | Bulldogs @ $1.33 | Bulldogs 71% | WON |
| Sea Eagles v Dragons | Sea Eagles @ $1.60 | Sea Eagles 66% | LOST |
| Titans v Raiders | Raiders @ $1.85 | Raiders 59% | WON |
| Knights v Sharks | Sharks @ $1.38 | Sharks 64% | WON |
| Roosters v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.66 | Panthers 66% | WON |
| Wests Tigers v Eels | Wests Tigers @ $1.45 | Wests Tigers 52% | LOST |
| Warriors v Broncos | Broncos @ $1.38 | Broncos 58% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Dolphins v Storm
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Dolphins 40.9% / Storm 59.1%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.25 (edge -19.0%) — model probability 59.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Storm +12.5 @ $1.91 (edge -19.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +15.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 5 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r7-dolphins-v-storm

### Bulldogs v Rabbitohs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 70.9% / Rabbitohs 29.1%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.33 (edge -5.4%) — model probability 70.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 7 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r7-bulldogs-v-rabbitohs

### Sea Eagles v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · 4 Pines Park · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 66.0% / Dragons 34.0%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.60 (edge +2.3%) — model probability 66.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.3%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 28.5 @ $1.91 (edge +30.9%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 4 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r7-sea-eagles-v-dragons

### Titans v Raiders
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 40.8% / Raiders 59.2%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.85 (edge -6.6%) — model probability 59.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge -6.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +22.3%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 2 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r7-titans-v-raiders

### Knights v Sharks
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 35.6% / Sharks 64.4%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.38 (edge -7.5%) — model probability 64.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks +9.5 @ $1.91 (edge -7.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +12.3%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 5 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r7-knights-v-sharks

### Roosters v Panthers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Allianz Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 34.5% / Panthers 65.5%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.66 (edge +1.8%) — model probability 65.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.8%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 5 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r7-roosters-v-panthers

### Wests Tigers v Eels
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 52.3% / Eels 47.7%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.45 (edge -6.5%) — model probability 52.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge -6.5%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +6.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 2 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r7-wests-tigers-v-eels

### Warriors v Broncos
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Go Media Stadium · Round 7
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 42.2% / Broncos 57.8%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.38 (edge -14.1%) — model probability 57.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos +8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -14.1%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 3 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r7-warriors-v-broncos

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/6 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/6.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/8 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/8.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/7
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC