# NRL Round 6 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 6 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 6 at a glance
- 8 matches · 15W–9L on 24 settled picks (63% strike rate) · best value +27.3% edge

## Round 6 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Storm v Warriors | Storm @ $1.18 | Storm 76% | WON |
| Rabbitohs v Cowboys | Cowboys @ $1.85 | Cowboys 54% | WON |
| Dragons v Titans | Dragons @ $1.68 | Dragons 61% | WON |
| Eels v Raiders | Raiders @ $1.50 | Raiders 54% | WON |
| Knights v Wests Tigers | Knights @ $1.47 | Knights 67% | LOST |
| Dolphins v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.40 | Panthers 65% | LOST |
| Broncos v Roosters | Broncos @ $1.30 | Broncos 64% | LOST |
| Sharks v Sea Eagles | Sharks @ $1.50 | Sharks 66% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Storm v Warriors
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · AAMI Park · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 75.5% / Warriors 24.5%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.18 (edge -10.7%) — model probability 75.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -14.5 @ $1.91 (edge -10.7%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +27.3%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 13 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r6-storm-v-warriors

### Rabbitohs v Cowboys
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Optus Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 46.3% / Cowboys 53.8%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.85 (edge -1.5%) — model probability 53.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +25.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 4 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r6-rabbitohs-v-cowboys

### Dragons v Titans
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · WIN Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 60.7% / Titans 39.3%
- **Head to Head:** Dragons to win @ $1.68 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 60.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge -3.8%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +18.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dragons by 5 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r6-dragons-v-titans

### Eels v Raiders
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · TIO Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 46.0% / Raiders 54.0%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.50 (edge -15.9%) — model probability 54.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -15.9%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +13.3%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 1 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r6-eels-v-raiders

### Knights v Wests Tigers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 67.3% / Wests Tigers 32.7%
- **Head to Head:** Knights to win @ $1.47 (edge +12.3%) — model probability 67.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Knights -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +12.3%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Knights by 4 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r6-knights-v-wests-tigers

### Dolphins v Panthers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Dolphins 35.1% / Panthers 65.0%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.40 (edge -6.5%) — model probability 65.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers +7.5 @ $1.91 (edge -6.5%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +10.3%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 3 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r6-dolphins-v-panthers

### Broncos v Roosters
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 64.3% / Roosters 35.7%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.30 (edge -19.0%) — model probability 64.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge -19.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.7%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 10 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r6-broncos-v-roosters

### Sharks v Sea Eagles
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Optus Stadium · Round 6
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 66.2% / Sea Eagles 33.8%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.50 (edge +0.0%) — model probability 66.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 4 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r6-sharks-v-sea-eagles

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/5 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/5.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/7 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/7.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/6
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC