# NRL Preliminary Finals 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Preliminary Finals of the 2025 season — 2 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Preliminary Finals at a glance
- 2 matches · 5W–1L on 6 settled picks (83% strike rate) · best value +12.8% edge

## Preliminary Finals predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.72 | Panthers 53% | LOST |
| Storm v Sharks | Storm @ $1.46 | Storm 73% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Broncos v Panthers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Preliminary Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 47.1% / Panthers 52.9%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.72 (edge -5.2%) — model probability 52.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.2%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +12.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-pf-broncos-v-panthers

### Storm v Sharks
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · AAMI Park · Preliminary Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 72.5% / Sharks 27.5%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.46 (edge -1.6%) — model probability 72.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge -90.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 9 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-pf-storm-v-sharks

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/29 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/29.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/31 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/31.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/30
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC