# NRL Semi Finals 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Semi Finals of the 2025 season — 2 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Semi Finals at a glance
- 2 matches · 1W–4L on 5 settled picks (20% strike rate) · best value +8.7% edge

## Semi Finals predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulldogs v Panthers | Bulldogs @ $1.91 | Bulldogs 59% | LOST |
| Raiders v Sharks | Raiders @ $1.53 | Raiders 61% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Bulldogs v Panthers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Semi Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 58.7% / Panthers 41.3%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.91 (edge +8.7%) — model probability 58.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs @ $1.91 (edge +8.7%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 3
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-sf-bulldogs-v-panthers

### Raiders v Sharks
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · GIO Stadium · Semi Finals
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 60.8% / Sharks 39.2%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.53 (edge +4.6%) — model probability 60.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +4.6%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.3%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 4 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-sf-raiders-v-sharks

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/28 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/28.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/30 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/30.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/29
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC