# NRL Round 27 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 27 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 27 at a glance
- 8 matches · 14W–10L on 24 settled picks (58% strike rate) · best value +30.8% edge

## Round 27 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dolphins v Raiders | Dolphins @ $1.36 | Dolphins 76% | WON |
| Broncos v Storm | Storm @ $1.90 | Storm 58% | LOST |
| Bulldogs v Sharks | Bulldogs @ $1.60 | Bulldogs 63% | LOST |
| Dragons v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.35 | Panthers 64% | WON |
| Titans v Wests Tigers | Wests Tigers @ $1.85 | Wests Tigers 52% | LOST |
| Eels v Knights | Eels @ $1.25 | Eels 68% | WON |
| Sea Eagles v Warriors | Sea Eagles @ $1.50 | Sea Eagles 65% | WON |
| Roosters v Rabbitohs | Roosters @ $1.40 | Roosters 64% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Dolphins v Raiders
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Kayo Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Dolphins 75.8% / Raiders 24.2%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.36 (edge -4.9%) — model probability 75.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge -4.9%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 @ $1.91 (edge +30.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 13 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r27-dolphins-v-raiders

### Broncos v Storm
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 42.4% / Storm 57.6%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.90 (edge -7.3%) — model probability 57.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Storm +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge -7.3%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 4 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r27-broncos-v-storm

### Bulldogs v Sharks
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 63.4% / Sharks 36.6%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.60 (edge -2.8%) — model probability 63.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge -2.8%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 5 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r27-bulldogs-v-sharks

### Dragons v Panthers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · WIN Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 36.1% / Panthers 63.9%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.35 (edge -23.8%) — model probability 63.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers +8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -23.8%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 8 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r27-dragons-v-panthers

### Titans v Wests Tigers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 47.9% / Wests Tigers 52.1%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.85 (edge -50.0%) — model probability 52.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Titans +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge -50.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +25.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Titans by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r27-titans-v-wests-tigers

### Eels v Knights
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 67.8% / Knights 32.2%
- **Head to Head:** Eels to win @ $1.25 (edge -15.5%) — model probability 67.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Eels -11.5 @ $1.91 (edge -15.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +14.3%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Eels by 10 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r27-eels-v-knights

### Sea Eagles v Warriors
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · 4 Pines Park · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 65.3% / Warriors 34.7%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.50 (edge -1.3%) — model probability 65.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.3%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.8%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 6 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r27-sea-eagles-v-warriors

### Roosters v Rabbitohs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Allianz Stadium · Round 27
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 64.4% / Rabbitohs 35.6%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.40 (edge -15.6%) — model probability 64.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -15.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 11 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r27-roosters-v-rabbitohs

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/26 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/26.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/28 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/28.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/27
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC