# NRL Round 25 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 25 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 25 at a glance
- 8 matches · 13W–11L on 24 settled picks (54% strike rate) · best value +12.8% edge

## Round 25 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rabbitohs v Dragons | Rabbitohs @ $2.25 | Rabbitohs 56% | WON |
| Panthers v Raiders | Panthers @ $1.70 | Panthers 68% | LOST |
| Sea Eagles v Dolphins | Sea Eagles @ $1.75 | Sea Eagles 55% | WON |
| Titans v Warriors | Titans @ $2.25 | Titans 51% | LOST |
| Eels v Roosters | Roosters @ $1.32 | Roosters 54% | LOST |
| Knights v Broncos | Broncos @ $1.36 | Broncos 63% | WON |
| Wests Tigers v Cowboys | Wests Tigers @ $1.70 | Wests Tigers 61% | LOST |
| Storm v Bulldogs | Storm @ $1.40 | Storm 63% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Rabbitohs v Dragons
Thu, 21 Aug, 07:50 pm AEST · Accor Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 56.5% / Dragons 43.5%
- **Head to Head:** Rabbitohs to win @ $2.25 (edge +3.0%) — model probability 56.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Rabbitohs +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +3.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 39.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.9%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Rabbitohs by 3 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r25-rabbitohs-v-dragons

### Panthers v Raiders
Fri, 22 Aug, 06:00 pm AEST · Glen Willow Oval · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 67.6% / Raiders 32.4%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.70 (edge +6.3%) — model probability 67.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +6.3%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +3.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 4 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r25-panthers-v-raiders

### Sea Eagles v Dolphins
Sat, 23 Aug, 03:00 pm AEST · 4 Pines Park · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 54.6% / Dolphins 45.4%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.75 (edge +4.6%) — model probability 54.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +4.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +11.3%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 2 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r25-sea-eagles-v-dolphins

### Titans v Warriors
Sat, 23 Aug, 05:30 pm AEST · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 50.6% / Warriors 49.4%
- **Head to Head:** Titans to win @ $2.25 (edge +5.4%) — model probability 50.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Titans +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.4%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +6.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Titans by 0 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r25-titans-v-warriors

### Eels v Roosters
Sat, 23 Aug, 07:35 pm AEST · CommBank Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 46.4% / Roosters 53.6%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.32 (edge -21.6%) — model probability 53.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters +8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -21.6%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +7.2%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 2 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r25-eels-v-roosters

### Knights v Broncos
Sun, 24 Aug, 02:00 pm AEST · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 37.0% / Broncos 63.0%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.36 (edge -16.4%) — model probability 63.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos +9.5 @ $1.91 (edge -16.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +7.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 7 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r25-knights-v-broncos

### Wests Tigers v Cowboys
Sun, 24 Aug, 04:05 pm AEST · Leichhardt Oval · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 61.0% / Cowboys 39.0%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.70 (edge +1.1%) — model probability 61.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.1%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 35.5 @ $1.91 (edge +12.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 2 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r25-wests-tigers-v-cowboys

### Storm v Bulldogs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · AAMI Park · Round 25
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 63.3% / Bulldogs 36.7%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.40 (edge -5.2%) — model probability 63.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.2%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 7 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r25-storm-v-bulldogs

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |
| Anytime Try Scorer | Try Scorer | 35.8% | 605/1688 |
| First Try Scorer | First Try Scorer | 6.5% | 69/1055 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/24 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/24.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/26 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/26.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-24 02:42 UTC (latest tip update)