# NRL Round 24 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 24 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 24 at a glance
- 8 matches · 14W–10L on 24 settled picks (58% strike rate) · best value +19.4% edge

## Round 24 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharks v Titans | Sharks @ $1.30 | Sharks 71% | WON |
| Wests Tigers v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles @ $1.51 | Sea Eagles 53% | LOST |
| Warriors v Dragons | Warriors @ $1.53 | Warriors 64% | WON |
| Cowboys v Knights | Cowboys @ $1.45 | Cowboys 73% | WON |
| Broncos v Dolphins | Broncos @ $1.65 | Broncos 61% | WON |
| Roosters v Bulldogs | Roosters @ $2.20 | Roosters 54% | WON |
| Panthers v Storm | Panthers @ $1.80 | Panthers 71% | LOST |
| Rabbitohs v Eels | Eels @ $1.63 | Eels 68% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Sharks v Titans
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Sharks Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 71.4% / Titans 28.6%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.30 (edge -2.7%) — model probability 71.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -11.5 @ $1.91 (edge -2.7%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +19.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 6 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r24-sharks-v-titans

### Wests Tigers v Sea Eagles
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Allianz Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 46.6% / Sea Eagles 53.4%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.51 (edge -5.7%) — model probability 53.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles +4.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.7%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +14.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 2 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r24-wests-tigers-v-sea-eagles

### Warriors v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Go Media Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 64.2% / Dragons 35.8%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.53 (edge +10.0%) — model probability 64.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +10.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +11.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 7 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r24-warriors-v-dragons

### Cowboys v Knights
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 72.7% / Knights 27.3%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.45 (edge -1.4%) — model probability 72.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys -6.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +11.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 9 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r24-cowboys-v-knights

### Broncos v Dolphins
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Broncos 60.7% / Dolphins 39.3%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.65 (edge +1.2%) — model probability 60.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.2%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 4 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r24-broncos-v-dolphins

### Roosters v Bulldogs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Allianz Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 53.6% / Bulldogs 46.4%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $2.20 (edge +4.8%) — model probability 53.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +4.8%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 1 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r24-roosters-v-bulldogs

### Panthers v Storm
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 71.2% / Storm 28.8%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.80 (edge +4.6%) — model probability 71.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +4.6%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 39.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.2%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 4 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r24-panthers-v-storm

### Rabbitohs v Eels
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Allianz Stadium · Round 24
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 32.3% / Eels 67.7%
- **Head to Head:** Eels to win @ $1.63 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 67.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Eels +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.8%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +40.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Eels by 4 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r24-rabbitohs-v-eels

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/23 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/23.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/25 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/25.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/24
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC