# NRL Round 20 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 20 of the 2025 season — 8 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 20 at a glance
- 8 matches · 18W–6L on 24 settled picks (75% strike rate) · best value +22.0% edge

## Round 20 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders v Eels | Raiders @ $1.32 | Raiders 73% | WON |
| Storm v Sea Eagles | Storm @ $1.33 | Storm 75% | LOST |
| Dolphins v Cowboys | Dolphins @ $1.53 | Dolphins 63% | WON |
| Bulldogs v Dragons | Bulldogs @ $1.32 | Bulldogs 76% | WON |
| Wests Tigers v Titans | Wests Tigers @ $1.53 | Wests Tigers 61% | WON |
| Sharks v Roosters | Sharks @ $1.63 | Sharks 60% | WON |
| Knights v Warriors | Warriors @ $1.48 | Warriors 60% | WON |
| Panthers v Rabbitohs | Panthers @ $1.22 | Panthers 75% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Raiders v Eels
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · GIO Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 73.3% / Eels 26.7%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.32 (edge -12.1%) — model probability 73.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -11.5 @ $1.91 (edge -12.1%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +22.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 10 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r20-raiders-v-eels

### Storm v Sea Eagles
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · AAMI Park · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Storm 74.5% / Sea Eagles 25.5%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.33 (edge -2.4%) — model probability 74.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Storm -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -2.4%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +20.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 8 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r20-storm-v-sea-eagles

### Dolphins v Cowboys
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Suncorp Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Dolphins 62.6% / Cowboys 37.4%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.53 (edge -5.5%) — model probability 62.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +16.9%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 6 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r20-dolphins-v-cowboys

### Bulldogs v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 75.8% / Dragons 24.2%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.32 (edge -4.8%) — model probability 75.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -4.8%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +11.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 10 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r20-bulldogs-v-dragons

### Wests Tigers v Titans
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Leichhardt Oval · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Wests Tigers 61.2% / Titans 38.8%
- **Head to Head:** Wests Tigers to win @ $1.53 (edge +1.3%) — model probability 61.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Wests Tigers -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.3%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +10.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Wests Tigers by 5 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r20-wests-tigers-v-titans

### Sharks v Roosters
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Sharks Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 60.0% / Roosters 40.0%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.63 (edge +5.3%) — model probability 60.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.3%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.9%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 2 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r20-sharks-v-roosters

### Knights v Warriors
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 40.2% / Warriors 59.8%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.48 (edge -9.7%) — model probability 59.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge -9.7%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.2%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 3 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r20-knights-v-warriors

### Panthers v Rabbitohs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium · Round 20
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 74.8% / Rabbitohs 25.2%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.22 (edge -5.9%) — model probability 74.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers -12.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.9%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +100.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 11 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r20-panthers-v-rabbitohs

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/19 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/19.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/21 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/21.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/20
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC