# NRL Round 19 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 19 of the 2025 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 19 at a glance
- 7 matches · 18W–3L on 21 settled picks (86% strike rate) · best value +23.1% edge

## Round 19 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys v Bulldogs | Bulldogs @ $1.42 | Bulldogs 61% | WON |
| Sharks v Dolphins | Sharks @ $1.68 | Sharks 70% | WON |
| Warriors v Wests Tigers | Warriors @ $1.37 | Warriors 66% | WON |
| Knights v Storm | Storm @ $1.24 | Storm 63% | WON |
| Dragons v Roosters | Roosters @ $1.50 | Roosters 58% | WON |
| Titans v Broncos | Broncos @ $1.27 | Broncos 62% | WON |
| Eels v Panthers | Panthers @ $1.27 | Panthers 60% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Cowboys v Bulldogs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 39.2% / Bulldogs 60.8%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.42 (edge -5.0%) — model probability 60.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs +7.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +23.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 3 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r19-cowboys-v-bulldogs

### Sharks v Dolphins
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Sharks Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 69.7% / Dolphins 30.3%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.68 (edge +3.9%) — model probability 69.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +3.9%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +15.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 8 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r19-sharks-v-dolphins

### Warriors v Wests Tigers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Go Media Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 66.4% / Wests Tigers 33.6%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.37 (edge -3.0%) — model probability 66.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge -3.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.3%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 8 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r19-warriors-v-wests-tigers

### Knights v Storm
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 37.4% / Storm 62.6%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.24 (edge -12.0%) — model probability 62.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm +12.5 @ $1.91 (edge -12.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +7.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 7 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r19-knights-v-storm

### Dragons v Roosters
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Jubilee Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 41.7% / Roosters 58.3%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.50 (edge -7.5%) — model probability 58.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -7.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +4.2%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 3 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r19-dragons-v-roosters

### Titans v Broncos
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 38.2% / Broncos 61.8%
- **Head to Head:** Broncos to win @ $1.27 (edge -14.5%) — model probability 61.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos +11.5 @ $1.91 (edge -14.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +20.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 7 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r19-titans-v-broncos

### Eels v Panthers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium · Round 19
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 39.9% / Panthers 60.1%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.27 (edge -13.4%) — model probability 60.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers +11.5 @ $1.91 (edge -13.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +20.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 4 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r19-eels-v-panthers

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/18 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/18.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/20 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/20.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/19
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC