# NRL Round 18 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 18 of the 2025 season — 5 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 18 at a glance
- 5 matches · 8W–7L on 15 settled picks (53% strike rate) · best value +16.1% edge

## Round 18 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders v Dragons | Raiders @ $1.35 | Raiders 68% | WON |
| Bulldogs v Broncos | Bulldogs @ $1.55 | Bulldogs 68% | LOST |
| Sea Eagles v Rabbitohs | Sea Eagles @ $1.35 | Sea Eagles 73% | WON |
| Roosters v Wests Tigers | Roosters @ $1.20 | Roosters 69% | LOST |
| Cowboys v Storm | Storm @ $1.28 | Storm 57% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Raiders v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · GIO Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Raiders 68.4% / Dragons 31.6%
- **Head to Head:** Raiders to win @ $1.35 (edge -12.3%) — model probability 68.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Raiders -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge -12.3%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +16.1%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Raiders by 7 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r18-raiders-v-dragons

### Bulldogs v Broncos
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 68.4% / Broncos 31.6%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.55 (edge -4.0%) — model probability 68.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -4.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 8 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r18-bulldogs-v-broncos

### Sea Eagles v Rabbitohs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · 4 Pines Park · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 72.8% / Rabbitohs 27.2%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.35 (edge -1.9%) — model probability 72.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.9%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +7.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 10 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r18-sea-eagles-v-rabbitohs

### Roosters v Wests Tigers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Allianz Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 69.3% / Wests Tigers 30.7%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.20 (edge -10.1%) — model probability 69.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters -12.5 @ $1.91 (edge -10.1%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +6.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 8 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r18-roosters-v-wests-tigers

### Cowboys v Storm
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 18
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 43.0% / Storm 57.0%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.28 (edge -14.0%) — model probability 57.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm +9.5 @ $1.91 (edge -14.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge -60.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Storm by 1 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r18-cowboys-v-storm

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/17 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/17.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/19 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/19.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/18
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC