# NRL Round 15 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 15 of the 2025 season — 5 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 15 at a glance
- 5 matches · 10W–5L on 15 settled picks (67% strike rate) · best value +9.8% edge

## Round 15 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Titans v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles @ $1.32 | Sea Eagles 67% | LOST |
| Sharks v Dragons | Sharks @ $1.32 | Sharks 75% | WON |
| Knights v Roosters | Roosters @ $1.50 | Roosters 57% | WON |
| Rabbitohs v Bulldogs | Bulldogs @ $1.43 | Bulldogs 67% | WON |
| Cowboys v Dolphins | Dolphins @ $1.65 | Dolphins 61% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Titans v Sea Eagles
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 32.5% / Sea Eagles 67.5%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.32 (edge -11.9%) — model probability 67.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles +10.5 @ $1.91 (edge -11.9%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 10 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r15-titans-v-sea-eagles

### Sharks v Dragons
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Sharks Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Sharks 75.4% / Dragons 24.6%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.32 (edge -5.9%) — model probability 75.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.9%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +9.7%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 11 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r15-sharks-v-dragons

### Knights v Roosters
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · McDonald Jones Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Knights 42.9% / Roosters 57.1%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.50 (edge -18.6%) — model probability 57.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -18.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +4.7%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 4 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r15-knights-v-roosters

### Rabbitohs v Bulldogs
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 32.5% / Bulldogs 67.5%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.43 (edge -3.4%) — model probability 67.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs +7.5 @ $1.91 (edge -3.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 3 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r15-rabbitohs-v-bulldogs

### Cowboys v Dolphins
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 15
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 38.9% / Dolphins 61.1%
- **Head to Head:** Dolphins to win @ $1.65 (edge -5.1%) — model probability 61.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dolphins +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.1%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.6%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dolphins by 8 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r15-cowboys-v-dolphins

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/14 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/14.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/16 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/16.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/15
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:26 UTC