# NRL Round 13 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 13 of the 2025 season — 7 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 13 at a glance
- 7 matches · 16W–5L on 21 settled picks (76% strike rate) · best value +16.5% edge

## Round 13 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys v Wests Tigers | Cowboys @ $1.40 | Cowboys 67% | WON |
| Titans v Storm | Storm @ $1.28 | Storm 64% | WON |
| Sea Eagles v Broncos | Sea Eagles @ $1.65 | Sea Eagles 54% | WON |
| Rabbitohs v Warriors | Warriors @ $1.75 | Warriors 51% | WON |
| Panthers v Eels | Panthers @ $1.60 | Panthers 70% | WON |
| Roosters v Raiders | Roosters @ $1.90 | Roosters 63% | LOST |
| Dragons v Knights | Dragons @ $1.50 | Dragons 70% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Cowboys v Wests Tigers
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Queensland Country Bank Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Cowboys 67.0% / Wests Tigers 33.0%
- **Head to Head:** Cowboys to win @ $1.40 (edge -5.4%) — model probability 67.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cowboys -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge -5.4%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.91 (edge +16.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Cowboys by 11 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r13-cowboys-v-wests-tigers

### Titans v Storm
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Cbus Super Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Titans 35.9% / Storm 64.1%
- **Head to Head:** Storm to win @ $1.28 (edge -18.5%) — model probability 64.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Storm +10.5 @ $1.91 (edge -18.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +13.6%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Storm by 7 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r13-titans-v-storm

### Sea Eagles v Broncos
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · 4 Pines Park · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Sea Eagles 54.1% / Broncos 45.9%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.65 (edge +8.6%) — model probability 54.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Broncos -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.6%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.8%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Broncos by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r13-sea-eagles-v-broncos

### Rabbitohs v Warriors
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Rabbitohs 49.4% / Warriors 50.6%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.75 (edge -8.6%) — model probability 50.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge -8.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +6.1%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 3 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r13-rabbitohs-v-warriors

### Panthers v Eels
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 70.1% / Eels 29.9%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.60 (edge +5.6%) — model probability 70.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.6%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +4.3%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 8 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r13-panthers-v-eels

### Roosters v Raiders
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Allianz Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 62.7% / Raiders 37.3%
- **Head to Head:** Roosters to win @ $1.90 (edge +20.0%) — model probability 62.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Roosters +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +20.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.5%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Roosters by 3 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r13-roosters-v-raiders

### Dragons v Knights
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Jubilee Stadium · Round 13
Alphr AI win probability: Dragons 70.0% / Knights 30.0%
- **Head to Head:** Dragons to win @ $1.50 (edge -2.5%) — model probability 70.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Dragons -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -2.5%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +10.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Dragons by 7 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r13-dragons-v-knights

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/12 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/12.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/14 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/14.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/13
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC