# NRL Round 12 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NRL predictions for Round 12 of the 2025 season — 5 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Round 12 at a glance
- 5 matches · 4W–11L on 15 settled picks (27% strike rate) · best value +19.3% edge

## Round 12 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roosters v Sharks | Sharks @ $1.50 | Sharks 64% | LOST |
| Warriors v Raiders | Warriors @ $1.65 | Warriors 64% | LOST |
| Bulldogs v Dolphins | Bulldogs @ $1.22 | Bulldogs 68% | LOST |
| Panthers v Knights | Panthers @ $1.34 | Panthers 61% | LOST |
| Eels v Sea Eagles | Sea Eagles @ $1.47 | Sea Eagles 62% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Roosters v Sharks
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Polytec Stadium · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Roosters 35.5% / Sharks 64.5%
- **Head to Head:** Sharks to win @ $1.50 (edge -12.4%) — model probability 64.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sharks +8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -12.4%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +19.3%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sharks by 5 · Predicted total: 51
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r12-roosters-v-sharks

### Warriors v Raiders
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Go Media Stadium · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Warriors 64.1% / Raiders 35.9%
- **Head to Head:** Warriors to win @ $1.65 (edge +8.8%) — model probability 64.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Warriors -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.8%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.91 (edge +5.4%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Warriors by 0 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r12-warriors-v-raiders

### Bulldogs v Dolphins
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Accor Stadium · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Bulldogs 67.7% / Dolphins 32.3%
- **Head to Head:** Bulldogs to win @ $1.22 (edge -80.0%) — model probability 67.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Bulldogs -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge -80.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +8.4%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Bulldogs by 7 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r12-bulldogs-v-dolphins

### Panthers v Knights
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · Carrington Park · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Panthers 61.3% / Knights 38.7%
- **Head to Head:** Panthers to win @ $1.34 (edge -3.6%) — model probability 61.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Panthers -8.5 @ $1.91 (edge -3.6%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +2.5%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Panthers by 4 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r12-panthers-v-knights

### Eels v Sea Eagles
Sat, 28 Feb, 07:36 pm AEDT · CommBank Stadium · Round 12
Alphr AI win probability: Eels 37.7% / Sea Eagles 62.3%
- **Head to Head:** Sea Eagles to win @ $1.47 (edge -4.8%) — model probability 62.3% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Sea Eagles +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge -4.8%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge -1.7%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Sea Eagles by 1 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2025-r12-eels-v-sea-eagles

## Model performance (2025)
| Model | Market | Strike rate | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| Head to Head | Win/Loss | 61.5% | 131/213 |
| Spread / Line | Spread | 60.4% | 128/212 |
| Over/Under | Total Score | 53.8% | 114/212 |

## More NRL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/11 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/11.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/13 (markdown: /nrl/2025/round/13.md)
- All NRL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nrl (markdown: /nrl.md)

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025/round/12
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-07-05 03:25 UTC