# NFL Week 9 2026 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NFL predictions for Week 9 of the 2026 season — 15 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Week 9 at a glance
- 15 matches · 60 picks pending · best value +11.1% edge

## Week 9 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Best edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens v Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville Jaguars @ $1.18 | Jacksonville Jaguars 81% | — |
| Atlanta Falcons v Cincinnati Bengals | Cincinnati Bengals @ $1.59 | Cincinnati Bengals 58% | — |
| Philadelphia Eagles v New York Giants | New York Giants @ $1.58 | New York Giants 72% | +11.1% |
| Kansas City Chiefs v New York Jets | Kansas City Chiefs @ $1.17 | Kansas City Chiefs 80% | — |
| Miami Dolphins v Detroit Lions | Detroit Lions @ $1.27 | Detroit Lions 66% | +7.0% |
| New Orleans Saints v Cleveland Browns | New Orleans Saints @ $1.60 | New Orleans Saints 56% | — |
| Washington Commanders v Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Rams @ $1.43 | Los Angeles Rams 70% | +0.4% |
| Carolina Panthers v Denver Broncos | Denver Broncos @ $1.69 | Denver Broncos 61% | +1.4% |
| Indianapolis Colts v Dallas Cowboys | Dallas Cowboys @ $1.36 | Dallas Cowboys 66% | — |
| Los Angeles Chargers v Houston Texans | Houston Texans @ $1.41 | Houston Texans 67% | — |
| San Francisco 49ers v Las Vegas Raiders | San Francisco 49ers @ $1.18 | San Francisco 49ers 81% | +1.3% |
| New England Patriots v Green Bay Packers | New England Patriots @ $1.57 | New England Patriots 66% | +4.8% |
| Seattle Seahawks v Arizona Cardinals | Seattle Seahawks @ $1.22 | Seattle Seahawks 69% | +2.5% |
| Chicago Bears v Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chicago Bears @ $1.34 | Chicago Bears 72% | — |
| Minnesota Vikings v Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills @ $1.52 | Buffalo Bills 59% | — |

## Match-by-match

### Baltimore Ravens v Jacksonville Jaguars
Fri, 06 Nov, 12:15 pm AEDT · M&T Bank Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Baltimore Ravens 19.1% / Jacksonville Jaguars 80.9%
- **Head to Head:** Jacksonville Jaguars to win @ $1.18 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 80.9%
- **Line / Spread:** Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5 @ $1.83 (edge -1.1%) — model probability 53.5%
- **Margin Band:** Jacksonville Jaguars 11+ @ $1.95 (edge -0.9%) — model probability 50.4%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 39.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Jacksonville Jaguars by 12 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-baltimore-ravens-v-jacksonville-jaguars

### Atlanta Falcons v Cincinnati Bengals
Mon, 09 Nov, 01:30 am AEDT · Bernabeu · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Atlanta Falcons 42.1% / Cincinnati Bengals 57.9%
- **Head to Head:** Cincinnati Bengals to win @ $1.59 (edge -5.0%) — model probability 57.9%
- **Line / Spread:** Atlanta Falcons +3.5 @ $1.77 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 52.7%
- **Margin Band:** Cincinnati Bengals 1-13 @ $2.20 (edge -7.9%) — model probability 37.5%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 52.5 @ $1.89 (edge -2.9%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Cincinnati Bengals by 2 · Predicted total: 54
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-atlanta-falcons-v-cincinnati-bengals

### Philadelphia Eagles v New York Giants
Mon, 09 Nov, 05:00 am AEDT · Lincoln Financial Field · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Philadelphia Eagles 27.5% / New York Giants 72.5%
- **Head to Head:** New York Giants to win @ $1.58 (edge +9.2%) — model probability 72.5%
- **Line / Spread:** New York Giants -2.5 @ $1.79 (edge +6.6%) — model probability 62.4%
- **Margin Band:** New York Giants 11+ @ $3.80 (edge +11.1%) — model probability 37.4%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 38.5 @ $1.85 (edge -4.1%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: New York Giants by 12 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-philadelphia-eagles-v-new-york-giants

### Kansas City Chiefs v New York Jets
Mon, 09 Nov, 05:00 am AEDT · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Kansas City Chiefs 79.8% / New York Jets 20.2%
- **Head to Head:** Kansas City Chiefs to win @ $1.17 (edge -5.7%) — model probability 79.8%
- **Line / Spread:** New York Jets +10.5 @ $1.89 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.3%
- **Margin Band:** Kansas City Chiefs 1-10 @ $2.70 (edge -8.1%) — model probability 28.9%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 47.5 @ $1.98 (edge -0.5%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Kansas City Chiefs by 10 · Predicted total: 52
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-kansas-city-chiefs-v-new-york-jets

### Miami Dolphins v Detroit Lions
Mon, 09 Nov, 05:00 am AEDT · Hard Rock Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Miami Dolphins 34.4% / Detroit Lions 65.6%
- **Head to Head:** Detroit Lions to win @ $1.27 (edge -13.1%) — model probability 65.6%
- **Line / Spread:** Miami Dolphins +6.5 @ $2.04 (edge +7.0%) — model probability 56.0%
- **Margin Band:** Detroit Lions 1-10 @ $2.90 (edge -3.5%) — model probability 31.0%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.86 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Detroit Lions by 2 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-miami-dolphins-v-detroit-lions

### New Orleans Saints v Cleveland Browns
Mon, 09 Nov, 05:00 am AEDT · Caesars Superdome · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: New Orleans Saints 56.4% / Cleveland Browns 43.6%
- **Head to Head:** New Orleans Saints to win @ $1.60 (edge -6.1%) — model probability 56.4%
- **Line / Spread:** Cleveland Browns +3.5 @ $1.78 (edge -3.7%) — model probability 52.4%
- **Margin Band:** New Orleans Saints 1-10 @ $2.80 (edge -5.3%) — model probability 30.4%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 43.5 @ $1.84 (edge -4.3%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: New Orleans Saints by 2 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-new-orleans-saints-v-cleveland-browns

### Washington Commanders v Los Angeles Rams
Mon, 09 Nov, 05:00 am AEDT · Northwest Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Washington Commanders 30.4% / Los Angeles Rams 69.6%
- **Head to Head:** Los Angeles Rams to win @ $1.43 (edge -0.4%) — model probability 69.6%
- **Line / Spread:** Los Angeles Rams -4.5 @ $1.90 (edge +0.4%) — model probability 53.0%
- **Margin Band:** Los Angeles Rams 1-10 @ $2.65 (edge -6.7%) — model probability 31.1%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 47.5 @ $1.86 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Los Angeles Rams by 7 · Predicted total: 58
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-washington-commanders-v-los-angeles-rams

### Carolina Panthers v Denver Broncos
Mon, 09 Nov, 05:00 am AEDT · Bank of America Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Carolina Panthers 39.4% / Denver Broncos 60.6%
- **Head to Head:** Denver Broncos to win @ $1.69 (edge +1.4%) — model probability 60.6%
- **Line / Spread:** Denver Broncos -2.5 @ $1.83 (edge -2.8%) — model probability 51.8%
- **Margin Band:** Denver Broncos 1-10 @ $2.90 (edge -3.9%) — model probability 30.5%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.84 (edge -4.3%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Denver Broncos by 4 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-carolina-panthers-v-denver-broncos

### Indianapolis Colts v Dallas Cowboys
Mon, 09 Nov, 05:00 am AEDT · Lucas Oil Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Indianapolis Colts 33.5% / Dallas Cowboys 66.5%
- **Head to Head:** Dallas Cowboys to win @ $1.36 (edge -7.0%) — model probability 66.5%
- **Line / Spread:** Indianapolis Colts +5.5 @ $1.93 (edge -1.4%) — model probability 50.4%
- **Margin Band:** Dallas Cowboys 1-10 @ $2.70 (edge -6.0%) — model probability 31.1%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Dallas Cowboys by 5 · Predicted total: 51
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-indianapolis-colts-v-dallas-cowboys

### Los Angeles Chargers v Houston Texans
Mon, 09 Nov, 08:05 am AEDT · SoFi Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Los Angeles Chargers 33.0% / Houston Texans 67.0%
- **Head to Head:** Houston Texans to win @ $1.41 (edge -3.9%) — model probability 67.0%
- **Line / Spread:** Los Angeles Chargers +5.5 @ $1.87 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 51.7%
- **Margin Band:** Houston Texans 1-10 @ $2.50 (edge -8.9%) — model probability 31.1%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.85 (edge -4.1%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Houston Texans by 4 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-los-angeles-chargers-v-houston-texans

### San Francisco 49ers v Las Vegas Raiders
Mon, 09 Nov, 08:05 am AEDT · Levi's Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: San Francisco 49ers 81.0% / Las Vegas Raiders 19.0%
- **Head to Head:** San Francisco 49ers to win @ $1.18 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 81.0%
- **Line / Spread:** San Francisco 49ers -9.5 @ $1.90 (edge +1.3%) — model probability 53.9%
- **Margin Band:** San Francisco 49ers 11+ @ $1.95 (edge -0.5%) — model probability 50.8%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 52.5 @ $1.89 (edge -2.9%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: San Francisco 49ers by 12 · Predicted total: 54
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-san-francisco-49ers-v-las-vegas-raiders

### New England Patriots v Green Bay Packers
Mon, 09 Nov, 08:25 am AEDT · Gillette Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: New England Patriots 65.6% / Green Bay Packers 34.4%
- **Head to Head:** New England Patriots to win @ $1.57 (edge +1.9%) — model probability 65.6%
- **Line / Spread:** New England Patriots -3.5 @ $2.05 (edge +4.8%) — model probability 53.5%
- **Margin Band:** New England Patriots 1-10 @ $3.00 (edge -2.3%) — model probability 31.0%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.84 (edge -4.3%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: New England Patriots by 6 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-new-england-patriots-v-green-bay-packers

### Seattle Seahawks v Arizona Cardinals
Mon, 09 Nov, 08:25 am AEDT · Lumen Field · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Seattle Seahawks 68.6% / Arizona Cardinals 31.4%
- **Head to Head:** Seattle Seahawks to win @ $1.22 (edge -13.4%) — model probability 68.6%
- **Line / Spread:** Arizona Cardinals +8.5 @ $1.86 (edge +2.5%) — model probability 56.3%
- **Margin Band:** Seattle Seahawks 1-10 @ $2.65 (edge -6.7%) — model probability 31.0%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 39.5 @ $1.87 (edge -3.5%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Seattle Seahawks by 4 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-seattle-seahawks-v-arizona-cardinals

### Chicago Bears v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Mon, 09 Nov, 12:20 pm AEDT · Soldier Field · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Chicago Bears 71.7% / Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28.3%
- **Head to Head:** Chicago Bears to win @ $1.34 (edge -3.0%) — model probability 71.7%
- **Line / Spread:** Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 @ $1.90 (edge -1.4%) — model probability 51.2%
- **Margin Band:** Chicago Bears 1-10 @ $2.70 (edge -6.0%) — model probability 31.1%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.89 (edge -2.9%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Chicago Bears by 6 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-chicago-bears-v-tampa-bay-buccaneers

### Minnesota Vikings v Buffalo Bills
Tue, 10 Nov, 12:15 pm AEDT · U.S. Bank Stadium · Week 9
Alphr AI win probability: Minnesota Vikings 40.5% / Buffalo Bills 59.5%
- **Head to Head:** Buffalo Bills to win @ $1.52 (edge -6.3%) — model probability 59.5%
- **Line / Spread:** Minnesota Vikings +3.5 @ $1.84 (edge -3.0%) — model probability 51.3%
- **Margin Band:** Buffalo Bills 1-10 @ $2.70 (edge -6.5%) — model probability 30.5%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Buffalo Bills by 3 · Predicted total: 34
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r9-minnesota-vikings-v-buffalo-bills

## Model performance (2026)
_No settled predictions yet this season._

## More NFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/round/8 (markdown: /nfl/round/8.md)
- All NFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nfl (markdown: /nfl.md)

---
Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/round/9
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-11-05 09:25 UTC (latest tip update)