# Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots — NFL Week 4 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Prediction coming soon

Our NFL model publishes its win probability, margin and total for Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots closer to kick-off. The head-to-head picture below is real historical data.

### Buffalo Bills v New England Patriots
Mon, 05 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Highmark Stadium · Week 4

### Match Preview

**Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots Prediction & Tips | NFL Week 4 2026**

**By the numbers**

|  |  |
|---|---|
| H2H (last 12) | Buffalo Bills 8 · New England Patriots 4 |
| Last meeting | Buffalo Bills 35-31 (2025) |
| Buffalo Bills 2026 so far | 3-0 · 2-0 home |
| Buffalo Bills scoring | 33.7 for · 26.0 against |
| New England Patriots 2026 so far | 1-2 · 0-2 away |
| New England Patriots scoring | 12.0 for · 17.0 against |
| Quarterbacks | Josh Allen · Drake Maye |
| Head coaches | Sean McDermott · Mike Vrabel |
| Market | Buffalo Bills $1.62 · New England Patriots $2.36 |
| Spread | Buffalo Bills -3 · total 49.5 |

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### H2H History (Last 5) — Buffalo Bills lead 3-2

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | W15 | New England Patriots | 31 – 35 | Buffalo Bills |
| 2025 | W5 | Buffalo Bills | 20 – 23 | New England Patriots |
| 2024 | W18 | New England Patriots | 23 – 16 | Buffalo Bills |
| 2024 | W16 | Buffalo Bills | 24 – 21 | New England Patriots |
| 2023 | W17 | Buffalo Bills | 27 – 21 | New England Patriots |

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Canonical URL: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r4-buffalo-bills-v-new-england-patriots
RSS feed: https://alphr.com.au/feed.xml
Prediction JSON API: today https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today · this week https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly
Markdown view for AI agents. Machine-readable index: https://alphr.com.au/llms.txt · full reference: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt
All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2026-09-29 15:12 UTC