# Tennessee Titans v Philadelphia Eagles — NFL Week 2 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Tennessee Titans 20 – 24 Philadelphia Eagles

_Philadelphia Eagles survive a scare against Tennessee Titans._

Half time: 10 – 14 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Tennessee Titans 41% / Philadelphia Eagles 59% · Nissan Stadium · Mon, 21 Sept, 03:00 am AEST

**Touchdowns** — Tennessee Titans: Cam Ward (11'), Cam Ward (45') · Philadelphia Eagles: Tank Bigsby (18'), DeVonta Smith (29' Tipped ⚡), Darius Cooper (60')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Eagles | 59% | Won |
| Tennessee Titans | 41% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 0.8 predicted → 4 actual · Markets hit: 3/3

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Tennessee Titans vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction & Tips | NFL Week 2 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 16 Sept 2026, 09:10 am · Last updated: 21 Sept 2026, 06:05 am_

Tennessee Titans 20–24 Philadelphia Eagles in NFL Week 2 at Nissan Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

The Philadelphia Eagles held a 14-10 lead over the Tennessee Titans at half-time at Nissan Stadium. That narrow edge vanished early in the second half before the visitors secured a 24-20 victory in a contest that stayed inside one score until the final seconds.

Tennessee’s Cam Ward opened the scoring in the first quarter with a touchdown, giving the Titans a 7-0 lead. Philadelphia responded in the second quarter. Tank Bigsby scored a touchdown with 12:49 remaining, followed by DeVonta Smith’s touchdown with 1:49 left in the half, putting the Eagles ahead 13-7. A field goal from the Titans before the break narrowed Philadelphia’s lead to 14-10.

The second half saw the Titans reclaim the lead. Ward scored his second touchdown for Tennessee with 0:57 left in the third quarter, making the score 16-14 in favour of the Titans. A field goal from Philadelphia then levelled the score at 17-all by the end of the third quarter. The game remained tight into the fourth quarter. Darius Cooper’s touchdown with nine seconds left on the clock secured the 24-20 win for Philadelphia.

Philadelphia finished with 353 total yards to Tennessee’s 305. The Eagles also had more first downs, 21 to 14. Philadelphia’s passing game was more productive, with 264 passing yards compared to Tennessee’s 183. Jalen Hurts completed 26 of 37 passes for 264 yards for Philadelphia, throwing two touchdowns and two interceptions. Tennessee’s Cam Ward completed 13 of 20 passes for 183 yards. DeVonta Smith was a key target for the Eagles, recording 10 catches for 117 yards and one touchdown.

Despite Philadelphia’s offensive output, they committed two turnovers to Tennessee’s zero. The Titans, however, had more rushing yards, with 122 compared to the Eagles’ 89. Tony Pollard led all rushers with 64 yards from 14 carries for Tennessee. The Titans also recorded more sacks, with three to Philadelphia’s two. Philadelphia’s offensive EPA was 2.8, while Tennessee’s was 3.8.

The Eagles came into the match with a stronger recent form, having won three of their last five games, compared to the Titans’ one win. Philadelphia also conceded fewer points on average in their last five games, at 19.8 points compared to Tennessee’s 28.8 points. The Eagles’ receiving corps was rated higher at 75 compared to the Titans’ 51, and their pass rush was rated 57 to Tennessee’s 52. The Titans’ backfield, however, was rated higher at 66 compared to the Eagles’ 56.

Alphr’s model correctly predicted the Philadelphia Eagles to win, assigning them a 59% probability. The model’s margin prediction was 0.8 points, close to the actual margin of four points. The total score prediction of 43 was also close to the actual 44, differing by only one point. All three model picks were accurate for this match.

**Scoring by Quarter**

| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 0 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 24 |

**Scoring Timeline**

| Clock | Team | Play | Scorer | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 4:22 | Tennessee Titans | TD | Cam Ward | 7-0 |
| Q2 12:49 | Philadelphia Eagles | TD | Tank Bigsby | 7-7 |
| Q2 1:49 | Philadelphia Eagles | TD | DeVonta Smith | 7-14 |
| Q2 0:00 | Tennessee Titans | FG | Joey Slye | 10-14 |
| Q3 8:08 | Philadelphia Eagles | FG | Jake Elliott | 10-17 |
| Q3 0:57 | Tennessee Titans | TD | Cam Ward | 17-17 |
| Q4 1:56 | Tennessee Titans | FG | Joey Slye | 20-17 |
| Q4 0:09 | Philadelphia Eagles | TD | Darius Cooper | 20-24 |

**Key Match Stats**

| Tennessee Titans | Stat | Philadelphia Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 305 | Total Yards | **353** |
| 183 | Passing Yards | **264** |
| **122** | Rushing Yards | 89 |
| 14 | First Downs | **21** |
| **0** | Turnovers | 2 |
| **3** | Sacks Made | 2 |
| **3.8** | Offensive EPA | 2.8 |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Philadelphia Eagles to win at 59% probability. The margin model was sharp, predicting Philadelphia Eagles by 0.8 vs the actual margin of 4 points. Total score prediction of 43 was close to the actual 44, within 1 points. A clean sweep, all 3 model picks hit for this match.

_Official NFL box score · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Philadelphia Eagles to win @ $1.27 (edge -20.2%) — model probability 58.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Tennessee Titans +6.5 @ $2.00 (edge +7.8%) — model probability 57.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Philadelphia Eagles 1-13 @ $2.12 (edge -8.5%) — model probability 38.7% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 39.5 @ $1.95 (edge -1.3%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Philadelphia Eagles by 1 · Predicted total: 43

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

Philadelphia Eagles are the call at 59%, but Tennessee Titans stay live at 41%. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Philadelphia Eagles sit 250 ELO points clear, 1571 to 1321. Form leans Philadelphia Eagles' way: 3 from their last 5, against 1 for Tennessee Titans.

Philadelphia Eagles own the matchup too, leading 3 of 6 factors including Team Rating (ELO), Pass Rush and Recent Form. Lean Philadelphia Eagles, but it shapes as a genuine contest.

Tennessee Titans have won 5 of the last 7 between these two, and Philadelphia Eagles took the most recent meeting 35-10 in 2022 Week 13.

Tennessee Titans went 0-1 in 2026 so far, 0-1 at home, averaging 10.0 points for and 23.0 against.

Philadelphia Eagles went 1-0 in 2026 so far, 0-0 away, averaging 24.0 points for and 22.0 against.

Cam Ward starts under centre for Tennessee Titans, Jalen Hurts for Philadelphia Eagles, with Robert Saleh and Nick Sirianni calling the shots.

The market has Philadelphia Eagles favourites, Tennessee Titans $3.80 and Philadelphia Eagles $1.27, with the spread at Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 and the total at 39.5.

**By the numbers**

|  |  |
|---|---|
| H2H (last 7) | Tennessee Titans 5 · Philadelphia Eagles 2 |
| Last meeting | Philadelphia Eagles 35-10 (2022) |
| Tennessee Titans 2026 so far | 0-1 · 0-1 home |
| Tennessee Titans scoring | 10.0 for · 23.0 against |
| Philadelphia Eagles 2026 so far | 1-0 · 0-0 away |
| Philadelphia Eagles scoring | 24.0 for · 22.0 against |
| Quarterbacks | Cam Ward · Jalen Hurts |
| Head coaches | Robert Saleh · Nick Sirianni |
| Market | Tennessee Titans $3.80 · Philadelphia Eagles $1.27 |
| Spread | Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 · total 39.5 |

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Tennessee Titans | Stat | Philadelphia Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 18.6pts | Avg Score | 20.4pts |
| 28.8pts | Avg Conceded | 19.8pts |
| -10.2pts | Avg Margin | 0.6pts |
| 7.0d | Rest Days | 7.0d |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans | W15 L · W16 W · W17 L · W18 L · W1 L | 18.6 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | W16 W · W17 W · W18 L · WC L · W1 W | 20.4 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Philadelphia Eagles lead 3-2

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away | Alphr's read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | W2 | Tennessee Titans | 20 – 24 | Philadelphia Eagles | Philadelphia Eagles 59% ✓ |
| 2022 | W13 | Philadelphia Eagles | 35 – 10 | Tennessee Titans | not priced |
| 2018 | W4 | Tennessee Titans | 26 – 23 | Philadelphia Eagles | not priced |
| 2014 | W12 | Philadelphia Eagles | 43 – 24 | Tennessee Titans | not priced |
| 2010 | W7 | Tennessee Titans | 37 – 19 | Philadelphia Eagles | not priced |

_Alphr's pre-match read was right in the one decided meeting it priced._

### TD Scorer History — Who Finds The End Zone

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at Nissan Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-td pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. TD % = share of games with a td, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Tennessee Titans** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | TD % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Elic Ayomanor | WR | 1 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0·1) | 0/0g | 4/9g | 30% | — | — |
| – | Calvin Ridley | WR | no games | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/3g | 3/12g | 18% | — | — |
| – | Cam Ward | QB | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/0g | 1/10g | 14% | — | 🏉 11' 45' |
| – | Carnell Tate | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Chimere Dike | WR | 0 in 1g | 5/10g (1·0·2·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 5/10g | 32% | — | — |
| – | Daniel Bellinger | TE | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0) | 0/6g | 0/1g | 8% | — | — |
| – | Gunnar Helm | TE | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/10g | 15% | — | — |
| – | Julius Chestnut | RB | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/16g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Nicholas Singleton | RB | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — | — |
| – | Tony Pollard | RB | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·2·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/9g | 3/18g | 26% | ⚡ Anytime TD $3.30 AI 33% ✗ No TD; 🎯 First TD $9.25 AI 8% ✗ Not first | — |
| – | Tyjae Spears | RB | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 5/22g | 16% | — | — |
| – | Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0) | 1/6g | 0/2g | 20% | ⚡ Anytime TD $5.25 AI 26% ✗ No TD | — |

**Philadelphia Eagles** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | TD % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Dallas Goedert | TE | 2 in 1g | 8/10g (0·0·0·0·0·2·1·1·2·2) | 0/1g | 0/1g | 42% | ⚡ Anytime TD $3.55 AI 35% ✗ No TD; 🎯 First TD $9.25 AI 8% ✗ Not first | — |
| – | Dontayvion Wicks | WR | 1 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·0·2·0·0·0·1) | 0/1g | 0/1g | 22% | — | — |
| – | Britain Covey | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Darius Cooper | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/8g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | 🏉 60' |
| – | DeVonta Smith | WR | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 28% | ⚡ Anytime TD $3.00 AI 26% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First TD $8.50 AI 6% ✗ Not first | 🏉 29' |
| – | Jalen Hurts | QB | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·1·2·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/1g | 0/0g | 42% | ⚡ Anytime TD $2.55 AI 21% ✗ No TD | — |
| – | Johnny Mundt | TE | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/1g | 6% | — | — |
| – | Makai Lemon | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Marquise Brown | WR | no games | 2/10g (1·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/4g | 0/2g | 20% | — | — |
| – | Saquon Barkley | RB | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·1·1·1·0·0·0) | 1/2g | 1/1g | 44% | ⚡ Anytime TD $2.00 AI 46% ✗ No TD; 🎯 First TD $5.00 AI 11% ✗ Not first | — |
| – | Tank Bigsby | RB | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0) | 1/4g | 1/2g | 18% | — | 🏉 18' |
| – | Will Shipley | RB | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 2% | — | — |

### End Zone Map — Where Our Picks Have Been Scoring

_Real touchdowns, not predictions: every score each of our picks made in his last five games. The percentage is our model's chance he scores in this game._

**Philadelphia Eagles** (4 picks)
- ⚡ Saquon Barkley 🎯 — 2 TDs in last 5 (2 rush · 0 pass) · model 46% · no TD
- ⚡ Dallas Goedert 🎯 — 8 TDs in last 5 (1 rush · 7 pass) · model 35% · no TD
- ⚡ DeVonta Smith 🎯 — 1 TD in last 5 (0 rush · 1 pass) · model 26% · **scored Q2**
- ⚡ Jalen Hurts — 0 TDs in last 5 · model 21% · no TD
- Rest of the Eagles: 4 TDs across the team's last 5
- Other scorers this game: T.Bigsby, D.Cooper

**Tennessee Titans** (2 picks)
- ⚡ Tony Pollard 🎯 — 1 TD in last 5 (1 rush · 0 pass) · model 33% · no TD
- ⚡ Wan'Dale Robinson — 1 TD in last 5 (0 rush · 1 pass) · model 26% · new club · no TD
- Rest of the Titans: 9 TDs across the team's last 5
- Other scorers this game: C.Ward

### Player Props — Yardage & Receptions

_Market lines vs our model's read for each player's rushing, receiving and passing numbers. ⚡ = the model sits 10+ points past the price; everything else is market intel, not a tip. Projections assume the depth-chart role the model saw at publish._

**Philadelphia Eagles** (PHI)

| Player · market | Line | Price | AI read | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Goedert · Rec yds | U 40.5 | $1.85 | 68% (expects 32.4) | ✓ landed |
| Dallas Goedert · Rec | U 4.5 | $1.60 | 71% (expects 3.4) | ✓ landed |
| DeVonta Smith · Rec yds | U 65.5 | $1.87 | 72% (expects 51.5) | ✗ missed |
| DeVonta Smith · Rec | U 4.5 | $2.15 | 66% (expects 3.7) | ✗ missed |
| Dontayvion Wicks · Rec | U 2.5 | $1.68 | 77% (expects 1.6) | ✗ missed |
| Dontayvion Wicks · Rec yds | U 30.5 | $1.95 | 75% (expects 17.4) | ✗ missed |
| Jalen Hurts · Pass TDs | U 1.5 | $1.62 | 64% (expects 1.0) | ✗ missed |
| Jalen Hurts · Rush yds | U 30.5 | $1.95 | 64% (expects 22.8) | ✓ landed |
| Jalen Hurts · Pass yds | U 205.5 | $1.88 | 57% (expects 225.3) | ✗ missed |
| Makai Lemon · Rec | O 2.5 | $2.30 | 59% (expects 3.0) | ✗ missed |
| Makai Lemon · Rec yds | U 20.5 | $1.95 | 87% (expects -10.0) | ✓ landed |
| Saquon Barkley · Rec | U 2.5 | $1.62 | 75% (expects 1.7) | ✓ landed |
| Saquon Barkley · Rush yds | U 75.5 | $1.85 | 73% (expects 61.6) | ✓ landed |
| Saquon Barkley · Rec yds | U 15.5 | $1.72 | 66% (expects 11.3) | ✓ landed |

**Tennessee Titans** (TEN)

| Player · market | Line | Price | AI read | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward · Pass yds | O 190.5 | $1.95 | 58% (expects 202.3) | ✗ missed |
| Cam Ward · Pass TDs | O 0.5 | $1.50 | 75% (expects 1.0) | ✗ missed |
| Cam Ward · Rush yds | U 11.5 | $1.85 | 59% (expects 8.5) | ✓ landed |
| Carnell Tate · Rec | U 3.5 | $1.68 | 67% (expects 2.8) | ✓ landed |
| Carnell Tate · Rec yds | U 35.5 | $1.90 | 73% (expects 24.6) | ✓ landed |
| Gunnar Helm · Rec | U 2.5 | $1.98 | 59% (expects 2.1) | ✓ landed |
| Gunnar Helm · Rec yds | U 20.5 | $1.92 | 71% (expects 13.2) | ✓ landed |
| Tony Pollard · Rush yds | U 46.5 | $1.85 | 59% (expects 46.6) | ✗ missed |
| Tony Pollard · Rec | O 1.5 | $1.90 | 61% (expects 1.8) | ✗ missed |
| Tony Pollard · Rec yds | O 5.5 | $1.68 | 52% (expects 7.0) | ✗ missed |
| Tyjae Spears · Rush yds | U 20.5 | $1.95 | 60% (expects 15.3) | ✗ missed |
| Tyjae Spears · Rec | U 2.5 | $2.10 | 53% (expects 2.4) | ✓ landed |
| Tyjae Spears · Rec yds | U 15.5 | $1.85 | 71% (expects 8.7) | ✗ missed |
| Wan'Dale Robinson · Rec | U 4.5 | $1.66 | 56% (expects 4.5) | ✓ landed |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Tennessee Titans 1321 · Philadelphia Eagles 1571 · ELO difference: 250 in favour of Philadelphia Eagles

**Positional Matchups** — unit strength index from player ratings: 50 is league average, 75+ is elite, 25 and under is a weakness

| Unit | Tennessee Titans | Philadelphia Eagles | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | 48 | 47 | Even |
| Receiving Corps | 51 | 75 | Philadelphia Eagles +24 |
| Backfield | 66 | 56 | Tennessee Titans +10 |
| Pass Rush | 52 | 57 | Philadelphia Eagles +5 |
| Secondary | 59 | 59 | Even |
| Special Teams | 60 | 51 | Tennessee Titans +9 |

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team Rating (ELO) | 30.0% | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 2 | Quarterback | 18.0% | — |
| 3 | Pass Rush | 12.0% | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 4 | Secondary | 10.0% | — |
| 5 | Recent Form | 10.0% | Philadelphia Eagles |
| 6 | Rest Advantage | 8.0% | — |

**Model Confidence: 59%** — Philadelphia Eagles predicted to win by 1 points · Predicted total: 43 pts

**Record:** 3/3 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-09-20 20:05 UTC (latest tip update)