# Arizona Cardinals v Seattle Seahawks — NFL Week 2 2026 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Who will win Arizona Cardinals v Seattle Seahawks?

Alphr's NFL model makes Seattle Seahawks a clear 83% favourite over Arizona Cardinals in Week 2. Predicted result: Seattle Seahawks by 12 in a low-scoring game (40 total, under the 41.5 line). **Confidence: High.** Seattle Seahawks lead on Team Rating (ELO), Quarterback and Pass Rush. The edge is on the Seattle Seahawks line at +13.8%.

_Alphr NFL Model v5 · full record at https://alphr.com.au/accuracy. Every pick published before kick-off, never edited._

### Arizona Cardinals v Seattle Seahawks
Mon, 21 Sept, 06:25 am AEST · State Farm Stadium · Week 2

**The model's call**
- **Head to Head:** Seattle Seahawks to win @ $1.45 (edge +13.8%) — model probability 82.8%
- **Line / Spread:** Seattle Seahawks -4.5 @ $1.93 (edge +8.9%) — model probability 60.7%
- **Margin Band:** Seattle Seahawks 1-13 @ $2.12 (edge -7.6%) — model probability 39.6%
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 @ $1.86 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 50.0%
- Predicted margin: Seattle Seahawks by 12 · Predicted total: 40

### Match Preview

**Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks Prediction & Tips | NFL Week 2 2026**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 16 Sept 2026, 09:10 am_

Arizona Cardinals meet Seattle Seahawks in NFL Week 2 at State Farm Stadium. The model makes Seattle Seahawks the favourite. Here's the read, the win probabilities and the value it's flagging.

Seattle Seahawks are the pick here, and the model isn't shy about it: 83% to get the job done against Arizona Cardinals. The number that does most of the talking is the ELO gap, 254 points, 1682 for Seattle Seahawks against 1428 for Arizona Cardinals. That's not a marginal edge, that's a team the model rates a class above.

Look at the positional numbers and it holds up. Seattle Seahawks lead at quarterback, 55 to 46, at pass rush, 54 to 47, and in the secondary, 59

**By the numbers**

|  |  |
|---|---|
| H2H (last 12) | Arizona Cardinals 2 · Seattle Seahawks 10 |
| Last meeting | Seattle Seahawks 44-22 (2025) |
| Arizona Cardinals 2026 so far | 1-0 · 0-0 home |
| Arizona Cardinals scoring | 26.0 for · 14.0 against |
| Seattle Seahawks 2026 so far | 1-0 · 0-0 away |
| Seattle Seahawks scoring | 13.0 for · 10.0 against |
| Quarterbacks | Jacoby Brissett · Drew Lock |
| Head coaches | Jonathan Gannon · Mike Macdonald |
| Rest | Arizona Cardinals 7d · Seattle Seahawks 11d |
| Market | Arizona Cardinals $4.90 · Seattle Seahawks $1.19 |
| Spread | Seattle Seahawks -10 · total 44.5 |

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Arizona Cardinals | Stat | Seattle Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 5.0 |
| 19.8pts | Avg Score | 25.4pts |
| 30.8pts | Avg Conceded | 11.8pts |
| -11.0pts | Avg Margin | 13.6pts |
| 7.0d | Rest Days | 11.0d |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Arizona Cardinals | W15 L · W16 L · W17 L · W18 L · W1 W | 19.8 |
| Seattle Seahawks | W18 W · DIV W · CONF W · SB W · W1 W | 25.4 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Seattle Seahawks lead 5-0

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | W10 | Seattle Seahawks | 44 – 22 | Arizona Cardinals |
| 2025 | W4 | Arizona Cardinals | 20 – 23 | Seattle Seahawks |
| 2024 | W14 | Arizona Cardinals | 18 – 30 | Seattle Seahawks |
| 2024 | W12 | Seattle Seahawks | 16 – 6 | Arizona Cardinals |
| 2023 | W18 | Arizona Cardinals | 20 – 21 | Seattle Seahawks |

### TD Scorer History — Who Finds The End Zone

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at State Farm Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-td pick. TD % = share of games with a td, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Arizona Cardinals** (projected 17)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | TD % | Alphr play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Jeremiyah Love | RB | 1 in 1g | 1/1g (1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 100% | ⚡ Anytime TD $2.55 AI 31% Market priced; 🎯 First TD $7.50 AI 7% Market priced |
| – | Trey McBride | TE | 1 in 1g | 7/10g (1·1·0·1·0·2·0·1·0·1) | 2/7g | 7/28g | 42% | ⚡ Anytime TD $3.50 AI 34% Market priced; 🎯 First TD $11.50 AI 8% Market priced |
| – | Bam Knight | RB | no games | 5/10g (1·1·0·0·0·1·1·1·0·0) | 0/3g | 3/7g | 36% | — |
| – | Devin Duvernay | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/1g | 0% | — |
| – | Elijah Higgins | TE | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/5g | 2/20g | 6% | — |
| – | Hunter Long | TE | no games | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/2g | 14% | — |
| – | Jacoby Brissett | QB | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/7g | 6% | — |
| – | Jalen Brooks | WR | no games | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/2g | 7% | — |
| – | Kendrick Bourne | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 1/9g | 1/8g | 10% | — |
| – | Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (1·0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0·0) | 2/4g | 7/14g | 35% | — |
| – | Michael Wilson | WR | 0 in 1g | 6/10g (0·0·0·0·2·1·1·1·1·0) | 1/6g | 5/23g | 32% | ⚡ Anytime TD $5.00 AI 28% Market priced |
| – | Reggie Virgil | WR | no games | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0/0g | — | — |
| – | Simi Fehoko | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/4g | 3% | — |
| – | Tyler Allgeier | RB | 0 in 1g | 4/10g (2·1·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/2g | 30% | — |

**Seattle Seahawks** (projected 17)

| # | Player | Pos | 2026 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | TD % | Alphr play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 1 in 1g | 6/10g (0·2·0·1·0·0·1·1·0·1) | 4/6g | 1/3g | 44% | ⚡ Anytime TD $2.45 AI 46% Market priced; 🎯 First TD $7.50 AI 11% AI's first pick — no price edge |
| – | AJ Barner | TE | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·0·1·1·0·0·0·1·0) | 1/4g | 1/2g | 30% | — |
| – | Brady Russell | RB | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — |
| – | Cooper Kupp | WR | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0) | 7/17g | 3/8g | 28% | ⚡ Anytime TD $5.60 AI 23% Market priced |
| – | Drew Lock | QB | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 16% | — |
| – | Elijah Arroyo | TE | no games | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/1g | 9% | — |
| – | Emanuel Wilson | RB | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (1·2·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/2g | 0/1g | 18% | — |
| – | Eric Saubert | TE | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/2g | 4% | — |
| – | George Holani | RB | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0) | 1/3g | 0/2g | 12% | — |
| – | Jadarian Price | RB | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | ⚡ Anytime TD $2.35 AI 28% Market priced; 🎯 First TD $6.75 AI 7% Market priced |
| – | Montorie Foster Jr. | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — |
| – | Nick Kallerup | TE | no games | 0/4g (0·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 0/0g | 0% | — |
| – | Rashid Shaheed | WR | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·1·0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 1/3g | 1/1g | 32% | — |
| – | Tory Horton | WR | no games | 6/8g (0·1·2·0·1·0·0·2) | 0/1g | 0/1g | 50% | — |

### End Zone Map — Where Our Picks Have Been Scoring

_Real touchdowns, not predictions: every score each of our picks made in his last five games. The percentage is our model's chance he scores in this game._

**Seattle Seahawks** (3 picks)
- ⚡ Jaxon Smith-Njigba 🎯 — 3 TDs in last 5 (0 rush · 3 pass) · model 46%
- ⚡ Jadarian Price 🎯 — 0 TDs in last 1 · model 28%
- ⚡ Cooper Kupp — 1 TD in last 5 (0 rush · 1 pass) · model 23%
- Rest of the Seahawks: 9 TDs across the team's last 5

**Arizona Cardinals** (3 picks)
- ⚡ Trey McBride 🎯 — 4 TDs in last 5 (0 rush · 4 pass) · model 34%
- ⚡ Jeremiyah Love 🎯 — 1 TD in last 1 (1 rush · 0 pass) · model 31%
- ⚡ Michael Wilson — 4 TDs in last 5 (0 rush · 4 pass) · model 28%
- Rest of the Cardinals: 1 TD across the team's last 5

### Player Props — Yardage & Receptions

_Market lines vs our model's read for each player's rushing, receiving and passing numbers. ⚡ = the model sits 10+ points past the price; everything else is market intel, not a tip. Projections assume the depth-chart role the model saw at publish._

**Seattle Seahawks** (SEA)

| Player · market | Line | Price | AI read | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Barner · Rec yds | U 25.5 | $1.80 | 66% (expects 19.0) | market |
| Cooper Kupp · Rec yds | U 30.5 | $1.85 | 57% (expects 28.4) | market |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba · Rec yds | O 78.5 | $1.88 | 53% (expects 87.0) | market |

**Arizona Cardinals** (ARI)

| Player · market | Line | Price | AI read | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett · Rush yds | O 5.5 | $1.87 | 67% (expects 9.6) | market |
| Jacoby Brissett · Pass yds | U 220.5 | $1.80 | 69% (expects 222.6) | market |
| Jacoby Brissett · Pass TDs | U 1.5 | $1.40 | 64% (expects 1.1) | market |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. · Rec | O 2.5 | $1.78 | 53% (expects 2.6) | market |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. · Rec yds | O 31.5 | $1.85 | 51% (expects 39.2) | market |
| Michael Wilson · Rec yds | U 46.5 | $1.90 | 52% (expects 49.7) | market |
| Michael Wilson · Rec | U 4.5 | $1.66 | 59% (expects 4.2) | market |
| Trey McBride · Rec yds | O 55.5 | $1.85 | 50% (expects 62.1) | market |
| Trey McBride · Rec | O 5.5 | $1.68 | 67% (expects 6.8) | market |

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Arizona Cardinals 1428 · Seattle Seahawks 1682 · ELO difference: 253 in favour of Seattle Seahawks

**Positional Matchups** — unit strength index from player ratings: 50 is league average, 75+ is elite, 25 and under is a weakness

| Unit | Arizona Cardinals | Seattle Seahawks | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | 46 | 55 | Seattle Seahawks +9 |
| Receiving Corps | 75 | 64 | Arizona Cardinals +11 |
| Backfield | 44 | 47 | Even |
| Pass Rush | 47 | 54 | Seattle Seahawks +7 |
| Secondary | 51 | 59 | Seattle Seahawks +8 |
| Special Teams | 55 | 75 | Seattle Seahawks +20 |

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team Rating (ELO) | 30.0% | Seattle Seahawks |
| 2 | Quarterback | 18.0% | Seattle Seahawks |
| 3 | Pass Rush | 12.0% | Seattle Seahawks |
| 4 | Secondary | 10.0% | Seattle Seahawks |
| 5 | Recent Form | 10.0% | Seattle Seahawks |
| 6 | Rest Advantage | 8.0% | Seattle Seahawks |

**Model Confidence: 83%** — Seattle Seahawks predicted to win by 12 points · Predicted total: 40 pts

### Common questions

**What's the predicted score?** A low-scoring Seattle Seahawks win, around 26–14 (total ~40 — under the 41.5 line).

**Will it be high-scoring?** Unlikely — the model leans under the 41.5 line (model projects 40).

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2026-09-15 23:10 UTC (latest tip update)