# Tennessee Titans v Los Angeles Rams — NFL Week 2 2025 AI Prediction by Alphr

## Full Time: Tennessee Titans 19 – 33 Los Angeles Rams

_Los Angeles Rams rally to ram past Tennessee Titans._

Half time: 13 – 10 · Alphr AI pre-game win probability: Tennessee Titans 20% / Los Angeles Rams 80% · Nissan Stadium · Mon, 15 Sept, 03:00 am AEST

**Touchdowns** — Tennessee Titans: Elic Ayomanor (30') · Los Angeles Rams: Puka Nacua (7' Tipped ⚡), Davis Allen (44'), Davante Adams (51' Tipped ⚡), Blake Corum (54')

### Match Winner — AI Prediction Market (resolved)

| Team | Pre-game AI win probability | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams | 80% | Won |
| Tennessee Titans | 20% | Lost |

Model call: **Correct** · Margin: 10.3 predicted → 14 actual · Markets hit: 3/3

_AI win probability priced pre-game · Markets hit = core betting markets._

### Full-Time Report

**Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Rams Prediction and Tips - NFL Week 2, 2025**

_By Ben Dunlop · Published: 15 Sept 2025, 03:00 am_

Tennessee Titans 19–33 Los Angeles Rams in NFL Week 2 at Nissan Stadium. Here's how the result stacked up against the model's call, with the win-probability story and where the value landed.

Los Angeles Rams led early, lost that lead, then buried Tennessee Titans under 23 unanswered points across the second half. Final score: 33-19. The scoreboard tells a story of a home side that had its moment in the sun and then got swamped.

Puka Nacua opened the account for Los Angeles Rams with 8:48 left in the first quarter, and it looked like the form line was about to play out exactly as tipped: Los Angeles Rams walked in as 80 per cent favourites, expected to win by 10.3. But Tennessee Titans had other ideas for a while. Elic Ayomanor scored with under a minute left in the second quarter to get Tennessee Titans within one, and by half-time the home side had somehow flipped it, up 13-10.

That lead didn't survive the third quarter. Davis Allen crossed for Los Angeles Rams with 1:21 left in the third to put them back in front 19-16, and the visitors closed the quarter 20-16 up. From there the gap only grew. Davante Adams scored with 9:44 left in the fourth to make it 26-16, and Blake Corum followed with 6:48 remaining to push it out to 33-16. A late Tennessee Titans score got the final margin back to 33-19, but the game had long been decided.

The stat sheet backs up what the scoreboard showed. Los Angeles Rams outgained Tennessee Titans 447 yards to 284, and the gap in the trenches was the story: five sacks for Los Angeles Rams against just one for Tennessee Titans, and an offensive EPA reading of plus 16.2 against minus 7.9. That's not a close game by the numbers that actually measure quality of play, whatever the final score suggests.

Matthew Stafford was the difference through the air, going 23-of-33 for 298 yards and two touchdowns with a pick, well clear of Cam Ward's 19-of-33 for 175 and a single score. Davante Adams was the standout target on the day, six catches for 106 yards and a touchdown, doing exactly what his positional rating suggested he might against a Tennessee Titans receiving corps rated 47 to Los Angeles Rams' 62. Tony Pollard was arguably Tennessee Titans' best contributor, 92 yards on 20 carries, but one good rushing display wasn't going to offset a quarterback matchup that was never close on paper, 18 to 51 in Los Angeles Rams' favour.

Form lines pointed this way too. Tennessee Titans arrived on a five-game losing streak, conceding 27.6 points a game on average, and that defensive leak showed up again once Los Angeles Rams found their rhythm after the break. Los Angeles Rams, by contrast, had won three of their last five and came in averaging just 17 points conceded, and their pass rush backed that up by getting home five times.

Alphr's model called the winner and had the margin close to right too, tipping Los Angeles Rams by 10.3 against an actual 14-point gap. The lead swapped hands twice and Tennessee Titans had their moment at the break, but the class gap in the passing game and the pass rush numbers did what the pre-match read expected all along.

**Scoring by Quarter**

| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 19 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 7 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 33 |

**Key Match Stats**

| Tennessee Titans | Stat | Los Angeles Rams |
|---|---|---|
| 284 | Total Yards | **447** |
| 175 | Passing Yards | **298** |
| 109 | Rushing Yards | **149** |
| 27 | First Downs | **32** |
| 1 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 1 | Sacks Made | **5** |
| -7.9 | Offensive EPA | **16.2** |

**Model Report Card**

Our model correctly predicted Los Angeles Rams to win at 80% probability. The margin model was sharp, predicting Los Angeles Rams by 10.3 vs the actual margin of 14 points. A clean sweep, all 3 model picks hit for this match.

**Referee Watch**

John Hussey officiated this match (181 career games). The combined score of 52 points was 6 points above John Hussey's career average of 46. Los Angeles Rams bucked the trend, Tennessee Titans historically win 69% of games under John Hussey, but couldn't convert that edge today. Despite John Hussey's 66% career home-team win rate, the away side Los Angeles Rams prevailed.

_Official NFL box score · Generated by Alphr's model_

### Edge Analysis — the model's pre-game markets

- **Head to Head:** Los Angeles Rams to win @ $1.40 (edge +9.0%) — model probability 80.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Los Angeles Rams -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Los Angeles Rams by 10 · Predicted total: 44

### Match Preview (pre-match read)

The model is firm on Los Angeles Rams here: 80% to see off Tennessee Titans. The heaviest factor is the ratings gap: Los Angeles Rams sit 199 ELO points clear, 1559 to 1359. Form leans Los Angeles Rams' way: 3 from their last 5, against 0 for Tennessee Titans.

Los Angeles Rams own the matchup too, leading 5 of 6 factors including Team Rating (ELO), Quarterback and Pass Rush. The margin model has Los Angeles Rams by 10.3, with the two sides combining for about 44. Los Angeles Rams to win, and win clearly. The model isn't hedging.

The recent history is even: 4 wins each from the last 8 meetings, Los Angeles Rams taking the most recent 33-19 in 2025 Week 2.

Tennessee Titans went 3-14 in 2025 so far, 1-8 at home, averaging 16.7 points for and 28.1 against.

Los Angeles Rams went 12-5 in 2025 so far, 5-4 away, averaging 30.5 points for and 20.4 against.

Cam Ward starts under centre for Tennessee Titans, Matthew Stafford for Los Angeles Rams, with Brian Callahan and Sean McVay calling the shots.

The market has Los Angeles Rams favourites, Tennessee Titans $3.05 and Los Angeles Rams $1.40, with the spread at Los Angeles Rams -5.5 and the total at 41.5.

**By the numbers**

|  |  |
|---|---|
| H2H (last 8) | Tennessee Titans 4 · Los Angeles Rams 4 |
| Last meeting | Los Angeles Rams 33-19 (2025) |
| Tennessee Titans 2025 so far | 3-14 · 1-8 home |
| Tennessee Titans scoring | 16.7 for · 28.1 against |
| Los Angeles Rams 2025 so far | 12-5 · 5-4 away |
| Los Angeles Rams scoring | 30.5 for · 20.4 against |
| Quarterbacks | Cam Ward · Matthew Stafford |
| Head coaches | Brian Callahan · Sean McVay |
| Market | Tennessee Titans $3.05 · Los Angeles Rams $1.40 |
| Spread | Los Angeles Rams -5.5 · total 41.5 |
| Referee | John Hussey |

_Pre-match read · Alphr model_

### Referee Indicator — Favours Tennessee Titans

**John Hussey** — 181 career games since 2015.

| Team | Record under John Hussey | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans | 9W–4L | 69% |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9W–6L | 60% |

Avg total: 45.9 pts · Home win %: 66% · Home bias: Leans home

Tennessee Titans hold a 9-point edge: 9W–4L (69%) vs Los Angeles Rams's 9W–6L (60%). Home teams win 66% of their matches (vs ~55% league avg).

### Recent Form (Last 5)

| Tennessee Titans | Stat | Los Angeles Rams |
|---|---|---|
| 0.0 | Wins (Last 5) | 3.0 |
| 19.2pts | Avg Score | 20.2pts |
| 27.6pts | Avg Conceded | 17.0pts |
| -8.4pts | Avg Margin | 3.2pts |
| 7.0d | Rest Days | 7.0d |

### Form & History

_Last 5 games, oldest → newest._

| Team | Last 5 | Avg Pts |
|---|---|---|
| Tennessee Titans | W15 L · W16 L · W17 L · W18 L · W1 L | 19.2 |
| Los Angeles Rams | W17 W · W18 L · WC W · DIV L · W1 W | 20.2 |

### H2H History (Last 5) — Tennessee Titans lead 3-2

| Season | Round | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | W2 | Tennessee Titans | 19 – 33 | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2021 | W9 | Los Angeles Rams | 16 – 28 | Tennessee Titans |
| 2017 | W16 | Tennessee Titans | 23 – 27 | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2013 | W9 | Los Angeles Rams | 21 – 28 | Tennessee Titans |
| 2009 | W14 | Tennessee Titans | 47 – 7 | Los Angeles Rams |

### TD Scorer History — Who Finds The End Zone

_Last 10 games, career record vs the opponent and at Nissan Stadium. ⚡ = our AI backs them to score; 🎯 = our AI's first-td pick. 🏉 = scored in this game. TD % = share of games with a td, last 10 weighted double vs the 30 prior — historical frequency, not a market price._

**Tennessee Titans** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | TD % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Bryce Oliver | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/9g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/5g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Calvin Ridley | WR | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (2·0·0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 0/1g | 3/9g | 26% | ⚡ Anytime TD $3.90 AI 27% ✗ No TD | — |
| – | Cam Ward | QB | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Chig Okonkwo | TE | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 2/22g | 12% | — | — |
| – | Chimere Dike | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Elic Ayomanor | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | 🏉 30' |
| – | Gunnar Helm | TE | 0 in 1g | 0/1g (0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Jordan Mims | RB | no games | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Tony Pollard | RB | 0 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·1·0·0·1·0·0·0) | 2/4g | 2/8g | 26% | ⚡ Anytime TD $1.86 AI 39% ✗ No TD; 🎯 First TD $5.80 AI 13% ✗ Not first | — |
| – | Tyler Lockett | WR | 0 in 1g | 1/10g (1·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 7/18g | 0/2g | 18% | — | — |
| – | Van Jefferson | WR | no games | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·0·0·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/1g | 16% | — | — |

**Los Angeles Rams** (team sheet)

| # | Player | Pos | 2025 | Last 10 | vs opp | Venue | TD % | Alphr play | This game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| – | Davis Allen | TE | 1 in 1g | 2/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·1·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 19% | — | 🏉 44' |
| – | Kyren Williams | RB | 1 in 1g | 8/10g (0·1·1·2·0·1·1·1·0·1) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 60% | ⚡ Anytime TD $1.65 AI 51% ✗ No TD; 🎯 First TD $4.70 AI 15% ✗ Not first | — |
| – | Blake Corum | RB | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | 🏉 54' |
| – | Davante Adams | WR | 0 in 1g | 7/10g (1·0·0·1·1·2·1·0·1·0) | 4/3g | 1/2g | 44% | ⚡ Anytime TD $2.75 AI 42% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First TD $9.25 AI 11% ✗ Not first | 🏉 51' |
| – | Jordan Whittington | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |
| – | Matthew Stafford | QB | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/3g | 0/1g | 2% | — | — |
| – | Puka Nacua | WR | 0 in 1g | 4/10g (1·0·1·2·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 31% | ⚡ Anytime TD $2.40 AI 34% ✓ Scored; 🎯 First TD $7.75 AI 9% ✓ Scored first | 🏉 7' |
| – | Tutu Atwell | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 12% | — | — |
| – | Tyler Higbee | TE | 0 in 1g | 3/10g (0·0·0·0·1·0·1·0·1·0) | 0/2g | 0/1g | 18% | ⚡ Anytime TD $4.60 AI 20% ✗ No TD | — |
| – | Xavier Smith | WR | 0 in 1g | 0/10g (0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0·0) | 0/0g | 0/0g | 0% | — | — |

### End Zone Map — Where Our Picks Have Been Scoring

_Real touchdowns, not predictions: every score each of our picks made in his last five games. The percentage is our model's chance he scores in this game._

**Los Angeles Rams** (4 picks)
- ⚡ Kyren Williams 🎯 — 4 TDs in last 5 (3 rush · 1 pass) · model 51% · no TD
- ⚡ Davante Adams 🎯 — 4 TDs in last 5 (0 rush · 4 pass) · model 42% · new club · **scored Q4**
- ⚡ Puka Nacua 🎯 — 0 TDs in last 5 · model 34% · **scored Q1**
- ⚡ Tyler Higbee — 2 TDs in last 5 (0 rush · 2 pass) · model 20% · no TD
- Rest of the Rams: 5 TDs across the team's last 5
- Other scorers this game: D.Allen, B.Corum

**Tennessee Titans** (2 picks)
- ⚡ Tony Pollard 🎯 — 1 TD in last 5 (1 rush · 0 pass) · model 39% · no TD
- ⚡ Calvin Ridley — 1 TD in last 5 (0 rush · 1 pass) · model 27% · no TD
- Rest of the Titans: 8 TDs across the team's last 5
- Other scorers this game: E.Ayomanor

### Prediction Breakdown — Pure Alpha Model

**Team ELO Ratings** — Tennessee Titans 1359 · Los Angeles Rams 1559 · ELO difference: 199 in favour of Los Angeles Rams

**Positional Matchups** — unit strength index from player ratings: 50 is league average, 75+ is elite, 25 and under is a weakness

| Unit | Tennessee Titans | Los Angeles Rams | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quarterback | 18 | 51 | Los Angeles Rams +33 |
| Receiving Corps | 47 | 62 | Los Angeles Rams +15 |
| Backfield | 37 | 54 | Los Angeles Rams +17 |
| Pass Rush | 46 | 54 | Los Angeles Rams +8 |
| Secondary | 53 | 60 | Los Angeles Rams +7 |
| Special Teams | 60 | 66 | Los Angeles Rams +6 |

**Key Prediction Factors** — what the model weighted most

| # | Factor | Weight | Favours |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team Rating (ELO) | 30.0% | Los Angeles Rams |
| 2 | Quarterback | 18.0% | Los Angeles Rams |
| 3 | Pass Rush | 12.0% | Los Angeles Rams |
| 4 | Secondary | 10.0% | Los Angeles Rams |
| 5 | Recent Form | 10.0% | Los Angeles Rams |
| 6 | Rest Advantage | 8.0% | — |

**Model Confidence: 80%** — Los Angeles Rams predicted to win by 10 points · Predicted total: 44 pts

**Record:** 3/3 match predictions correct

**Prediction by Alphr** (https://alphr.com.au) — free AI predictions for every AFL, NRL & Super League match, published before kick-off and never edited. Verified track record: https://alphr.com.au/accuracy

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Last updated: 2025-09-14 17:00 UTC (latest tip update)