# NFL Week 15 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NFL predictions for Week 15 of the 2025 season — 16 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Week 15 at a glance
- 16 matches · 31W–17L on 48 settled picks (65% strike rate) · best value +22.8% edge

## Week 15 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Atlanta Falcons | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ $1.36 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70% | LOST |
| Chicago Bears v Cleveland Browns | Chicago Bears @ $1.27 | Chicago Bears 80% | WON |
| Cincinnati Bengals v Baltimore Ravens | Baltimore Ravens @ $1.62 | Baltimore Ravens 64% | WON |
| Houston Texans v Arizona Cardinals | Houston Texans @ $1.16 | Houston Texans 95% | WON |
| Jacksonville Jaguars v New York Jets | Jacksonville Jaguars @ $1.10 | Jacksonville Jaguars 98% | WON |
| Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Chargers | Kansas City Chiefs @ $1.39 | Kansas City Chiefs 95% | LOST |
| New England Patriots v Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills @ $1.70 | Buffalo Bills 52% | WON |
| New York Giants v Washington Commanders | Washington Commanders @ $2.24 | Washington Commanders 57% | WON |
| Philadelphia Eagles v Las Vegas Raiders | Philadelphia Eagles @ $1.10 | Philadelphia Eagles 87% | WON |
| Denver Broncos v Green Bay Packers | Denver Broncos @ $2.02 | Denver Broncos 69% | WON |
| Los Angeles Rams v Detroit Lions | Los Angeles Rams @ $1.41 | Los Angeles Rams 69% | WON |
| New Orleans Saints v Carolina Panthers | Carolina Panthers @ $1.68 | Carolina Panthers 70% | LOST |
| Seattle Seahawks v Indianapolis Colts | Seattle Seahawks @ $1.10 | Seattle Seahawks 92% | WON |
| San Francisco 49ers v Tennessee Titans | San Francisco 49ers @ $1.11 | San Francisco 49ers 99% | WON |
| Dallas Cowboys v Minnesota Vikings | Dallas Cowboys @ $1.38 | Dallas Cowboys 58% | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Steelers v Miami Dolphins | Pittsburgh Steelers @ $1.57 | Pittsburgh Steelers 59% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Atlanta Falcons
Fri, 12 Dec, 12:15 pm AEDT · Raymond James Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 69.7% / Atlanta Falcons 30.3%
- **Head to Head:** Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win @ $1.36 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 69.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Atlanta Falcons +6 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 3 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-tampa-bay-buccaneers-v-atlanta-falcons

### Chicago Bears v Cleveland Browns
Mon, 15 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Soldier Field · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Chicago Bears 80.5% / Cleveland Browns 19.6%
- **Head to Head:** Chicago Bears to win @ $1.27 (edge +1.5%) — model probability 80.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Chicago Bears -7.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 38.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Chicago Bears by 11 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-chicago-bears-v-cleveland-browns

### Cincinnati Bengals v Baltimore Ravens
Mon, 15 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Paycor Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Cincinnati Bengals 36.0% / Baltimore Ravens 64.0%
- **Head to Head:** Baltimore Ravens to win @ $1.62 (edge +2.2%) — model probability 64.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 51.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Baltimore Ravens by 7 · Predicted total: 51
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-cincinnati-bengals-v-baltimore-ravens

### Houston Texans v Arizona Cardinals
Mon, 15 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · NRG Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Houston Texans 95.5% / Arizona Cardinals 4.5%
- **Head to Head:** Houston Texans to win @ $1.16 (edge +9.3%) — model probability 95.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Houston Texans -10.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Houston Texans by 10 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-houston-texans-v-arizona-cardinals

### Jacksonville Jaguars v New York Jets
Mon, 15 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · TIAA Bank Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Jacksonville Jaguars 97.5% / New York Jets 2.5%
- **Head to Head:** Jacksonville Jaguars to win @ $1.10 (edge +6.2%) — model probability 97.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Jacksonville Jaguars -13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Jacksonville Jaguars by 25 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-jacksonville-jaguars-v-new-york-jets

### Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Chargers
Mon, 15 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Kansas City Chiefs 94.8% / Los Angeles Chargers 5.1%
- **Head to Head:** Kansas City Chiefs to win @ $1.39 (edge +22.8%) — model probability 94.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Kansas City Chiefs by 9 · Predicted total: 36
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-kansas-city-chiefs-v-los-angeles-chargers

### New England Patriots v Buffalo Bills
Mon, 15 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Gillette Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: New England Patriots 48.2% / Buffalo Bills 51.8%
- **Head to Head:** Buffalo Bills to win @ $1.70 (edge -6.9%) — model probability 51.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Buffalo Bills -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Buffalo Bills by 3 · Predicted total: 54
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-new-england-patriots-v-buffalo-bills

### New York Giants v Washington Commanders
Mon, 15 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · MetLife Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: New York Giants 42.5% / Washington Commanders 57.5%
- **Head to Head:** Washington Commanders to win @ $2.24 (edge +12.9%) — model probability 57.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Washington Commanders +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: New York Giants by 2 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-new-york-giants-v-washington-commanders

### Philadelphia Eagles v Las Vegas Raiders
Mon, 15 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Lincoln Financial Field · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Philadelphia Eagles 86.7% / Las Vegas Raiders 13.3%
- **Head to Head:** Philadelphia Eagles to win @ $1.10 (edge -4.2%) — model probability 86.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Philadelphia Eagles -12.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 37.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Philadelphia Eagles by 18 · Predicted total: 35
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-philadelphia-eagles-v-las-vegas-raiders

### Denver Broncos v Green Bay Packers
Mon, 15 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · Empower Field at Mile High · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Denver Broncos 69.4% / Green Bay Packers 30.6%
- **Head to Head:** Denver Broncos to win @ $2.02 (edge +19.9%) — model probability 69.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Denver Broncos +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Denver Broncos by 5 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-denver-broncos-v-green-bay-packers

### Los Angeles Rams v Detroit Lions
Mon, 15 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · SoFi Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Los Angeles Rams 68.8% / Detroit Lions 31.1%
- **Head to Head:** Los Angeles Rams to win @ $1.41 (edge -2.2%) — model probability 68.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Detroit Lions +5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 54.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Los Angeles Rams by 1 · Predicted total: 54
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-los-angeles-rams-v-detroit-lions

### New Orleans Saints v Carolina Panthers
Mon, 15 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · Mercedes-Benz Superdome · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: New Orleans Saints 29.5% / Carolina Panthers 70.5%
- **Head to Head:** Carolina Panthers to win @ $1.68 (edge +10.8%) — model probability 70.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Carolina Panthers -2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Carolina Panthers by 2 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-new-orleans-saints-v-carolina-panthers

### Seattle Seahawks v Indianapolis Colts
Mon, 15 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · Lumen Field · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Seattle Seahawks 91.7% / Indianapolis Colts 8.3%
- **Head to Head:** Seattle Seahawks to win @ $1.10 (edge +0.8%) — model probability 91.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Indianapolis Colts +13.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Seattle Seahawks by 14 · Predicted total: 33
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-seattle-seahawks-v-indianapolis-colts

### San Francisco 49ers v Tennessee Titans
Mon, 15 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · Levi's Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: San Francisco 49ers 98.8% / Tennessee Titans 1.2%
- **Head to Head:** San Francisco 49ers to win @ $1.11 (edge +8.8%) — model probability 98.8% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** San Francisco 49ers -12.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: San Francisco 49ers by 26 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-san-francisco-49ers-v-tennessee-titans

### Dallas Cowboys v Minnesota Vikings
Mon, 15 Dec, 12:20 pm AEDT · AT&T Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Dallas Cowboys 58.1% / Minnesota Vikings 41.9%
- **Head to Head:** Dallas Cowboys to win @ $1.38 (edge -14.5%) — model probability 58.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Dallas Cowboys -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dallas Cowboys by 7 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-dallas-cowboys-v-minnesota-vikings

### Pittsburgh Steelers v Miami Dolphins
Tue, 16 Dec, 12:15 pm AEDT · Acrisure Stadium · Week 15
Alphr AI win probability: Pittsburgh Steelers 59.3% / Miami Dolphins 40.7%
- **Head to Head:** Pittsburgh Steelers to win @ $1.57 (edge -4.4%) — model probability 59.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Miami Dolphins +3 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Pittsburgh Steelers by 3 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r15-pittsburgh-steelers-v-miami-dolphins

## Model performance (2025)
_No settled predictions yet this season._

## More NFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/2025/round/14 (markdown: /nfl/2025/round/14.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/2025/round/16 (markdown: /nfl/2025/round/16.md)
- All NFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nfl (markdown: /nfl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2025-12-16 01:15 UTC (latest tip update)