# NFL Week 14 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NFL predictions for Week 14 of the 2025 season — 14 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Week 14 at a glance
- 14 matches · 23W–19L on 42 settled picks (55% strike rate) · best value +23.4% edge

## Week 14 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions v Dallas Cowboys | Detroit Lions @ $1.52 | Detroit Lions 89% | WON |
| Atlanta Falcons v Seattle Seahawks | Seattle Seahawks @ $1.28 | Seattle Seahawks 77% | WON |
| Baltimore Ravens v Pittsburgh Steelers | Baltimore Ravens @ $1.37 | Baltimore Ravens 88% | LOST |
| Buffalo Bills v Cincinnati Bengals | Buffalo Bills @ $1.35 | Buffalo Bills 77% | WON |
| Cleveland Browns v Tennessee Titans | Cleveland Browns @ $1.49 | Cleveland Browns 87% | LOST |
| Jacksonville Jaguars v Indianapolis Colts | Jacksonville Jaguars @ $2.14 | Jacksonville Jaguars 50% | WON |
| Minnesota Vikings v Washington Commanders | Washington Commanders @ $1.87 | Washington Commanders 51% | LOST |
| New York Jets v Miami Dolphins | New York Jets @ $2.24 | New York Jets 58% | LOST |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers v New Orleans Saints | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ $1.24 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 86% | LOST |
| Las Vegas Raiders v Denver Broncos | Denver Broncos @ $1.21 | Denver Broncos 75% | WON |
| Arizona Cardinals v Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Rams @ $1.20 | Los Angeles Rams 89% | WON |
| Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears | Green Bay Packers @ $1.33 | Green Bay Packers 75% | WON |
| Kansas City Chiefs v Houston Texans | Kansas City Chiefs @ $1.46 | Kansas City Chiefs 80% | LOST |
| Los Angeles Chargers v Philadelphia Eagles | Philadelphia Eagles @ $1.83 | Philadelphia Eagles 61% | LOST |

## Match-by-match

### Detroit Lions v Dallas Cowboys
Fri, 05 Dec, 12:15 pm AEDT · Ford Field · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Detroit Lions 89.1% / Dallas Cowboys 10.9%
- **Head to Head:** Detroit Lions to win @ $1.52 (edge +23.4%) — model probability 89.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Detroit Lions -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 55.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Detroit Lions by 8 · Predicted total: 61
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-detroit-lions-v-dallas-cowboys

### Atlanta Falcons v Seattle Seahawks
Mon, 08 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Atlanta Falcons 23.1% / Seattle Seahawks 76.9%
- **Head to Head:** Seattle Seahawks to win @ $1.28 (edge -1.2%) — model probability 76.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Atlanta Falcons +7 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Seattle Seahawks by 6 · Predicted total: 48
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-atlanta-falcons-v-seattle-seahawks

### Baltimore Ravens v Pittsburgh Steelers
Mon, 08 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · M&T Bank Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Baltimore Ravens 88.2% / Pittsburgh Steelers 11.8%
- **Head to Head:** Baltimore Ravens to win @ $1.37 (edge +15.2%) — model probability 88.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Baltimore Ravens -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Baltimore Ravens by 7 · Predicted total: 38
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-baltimore-ravens-v-pittsburgh-steelers

### Buffalo Bills v Cincinnati Bengals
Mon, 08 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · New Era Field · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Buffalo Bills 76.6% / Cincinnati Bengals 23.4%
- **Head to Head:** Buffalo Bills to win @ $1.35 (edge +2.6%) — model probability 76.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cincinnati Bengals +6 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 54.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Buffalo Bills by 5 · Predicted total: 55
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-buffalo-bills-v-cincinnati-bengals

### Cleveland Browns v Tennessee Titans
Mon, 08 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · FirstEnergy Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Cleveland Browns 87.5% / Tennessee Titans 12.5%
- **Head to Head:** Cleveland Browns to win @ $1.49 (edge +20.3%) — model probability 87.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cleveland Browns -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 33.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cleveland Browns by 5 · Predicted total: 39
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-cleveland-browns-v-tennessee-titans

### Jacksonville Jaguars v Indianapolis Colts
Mon, 08 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · TIAA Bank Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Jacksonville Jaguars 50.1% / Indianapolis Colts 49.9%
- **Head to Head:** Jacksonville Jaguars to win @ $2.14 (edge +3.4%) — model probability 50.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Indianapolis Colts by 3 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-jacksonville-jaguars-v-indianapolis-colts

### Minnesota Vikings v Washington Commanders
Mon, 08 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · U.S. Bank Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Minnesota Vikings 48.6% / Washington Commanders 51.4%
- **Head to Head:** Washington Commanders to win @ $1.87 (edge -2.1%) — model probability 51.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Minnesota Vikings +1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Minnesota Vikings by 5 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-minnesota-vikings-v-washington-commanders

### New York Jets v Miami Dolphins
Mon, 08 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · MetLife Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: New York Jets 57.6% / Miami Dolphins 42.4%
- **Head to Head:** New York Jets to win @ $2.24 (edge +13.0%) — model probability 57.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** New York Jets +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: New York Jets by 3 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-new-york-jets-v-miami-dolphins

### Tampa Bay Buccaneers v New Orleans Saints
Mon, 08 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Raymond James Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 86.4% / New Orleans Saints 13.6%
- **Head to Head:** Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win @ $1.24 (edge +5.5%) — model probability 86.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** New Orleans Saints +7.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 9 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-tampa-bay-buccaneers-v-new-orleans-saints

### Las Vegas Raiders v Denver Broncos
Mon, 08 Dec, 08:05 am AEDT · Allegiant Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Las Vegas Raiders 25.4% / Denver Broncos 74.6%
- **Head to Head:** Denver Broncos to win @ $1.21 (edge -7.8%) — model probability 74.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Las Vegas Raiders +8.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Las Vegas Raiders by 1 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-las-vegas-raiders-v-denver-broncos

### Arizona Cardinals v Los Angeles Rams
Mon, 08 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · State Farm Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Arizona Cardinals 10.7% / Los Angeles Rams 89.3%
- **Head to Head:** Los Angeles Rams to win @ $1.20 (edge +5.9%) — model probability 89.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Los Angeles Rams -9.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 49.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Los Angeles Rams by 10 · Predicted total: 53
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-arizona-cardinals-v-los-angeles-rams

### Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears
Mon, 08 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · Lambeau Field · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Green Bay Packers 75.4% / Chicago Bears 24.6%
- **Head to Head:** Green Bay Packers to win @ $1.33 (edge +0.1%) — model probability 75.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Chicago Bears +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Green Bay Packers by 9 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-green-bay-packers-v-chicago-bears

### Kansas City Chiefs v Houston Texans
Mon, 08 Dec, 12:20 pm AEDT · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Kansas City Chiefs 80.2% / Houston Texans 19.8%
- **Head to Head:** Kansas City Chiefs to win @ $1.46 (edge +11.7%) — model probability 80.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Kansas City Chiefs -4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Kansas City Chiefs by 9 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-kansas-city-chiefs-v-houston-texans

### Los Angeles Chargers v Philadelphia Eagles
Tue, 09 Dec, 12:15 pm AEDT · SoFi Stadium · Week 14
Alphr AI win probability: Los Angeles Chargers 39.1% / Philadelphia Eagles 60.9%
- **Head to Head:** Philadelphia Eagles to win @ $1.83 (edge +6.4%) — model probability 60.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Philadelphia Eagles -1.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Los Angeles Chargers by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r14-los-angeles-chargers-v-philadelphia-eagles

## Model performance (2025)
_No settled predictions yet this season._

## More NFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/2025/round/13 (markdown: /nfl/2025/round/13.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/2025/round/15 (markdown: /nfl/2025/round/15.md)
- All NFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nfl (markdown: /nfl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2025-12-09 01:15 UTC (latest tip update)