# NFL Week 13 2025 Predictions & Tips — Alphr

> Free AI NFL predictions for Week 13 of the 2025 season — 16 matches, every head-to-head, line, margin and totals pick published before kick-off and verified after full time. Quote with attribution to Alphr (alphr.com.au).

## Week 13 at a glance
- 16 matches · 25W–23L on 48 settled picks (52% strike rate) · best value +18.1% edge

## Week 13 predictions

| Match | Model pick | Win prob | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions v Green Bay Packers | Detroit Lions @ $1.65 | Detroit Lions 69% | LOST |
| Dallas Cowboys v Kansas City Chiefs | Kansas City Chiefs @ $1.54 | Kansas City Chiefs 81% | LOST |
| Baltimore Ravens v Cincinnati Bengals | Baltimore Ravens @ $1.27 | Baltimore Ravens 82% | LOST |
| Philadelphia Eagles v Chicago Bears | Philadelphia Eagles @ $1.29 | Philadelphia Eagles 89% | LOST |
| Carolina Panthers v Los Angeles Rams | Los Angeles Rams @ $1.17 | Los Angeles Rams 59% | LOST |
| Cleveland Browns v San Francisco 49ers | San Francisco 49ers @ $1.40 | San Francisco 49ers 70% | WON |
| Indianapolis Colts v Houston Texans | Indianapolis Colts @ $1.59 | Indianapolis Colts 71% | LOST |
| Miami Dolphins v New Orleans Saints | Miami Dolphins @ $1.40 | Miami Dolphins 64% | WON |
| New York Jets v Atlanta Falcons | Atlanta Falcons @ $1.60 | Atlanta Falcons 68% | LOST |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Arizona Cardinals | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ $1.51 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 74% | WON |
| Tennessee Titans v Jacksonville Jaguars | Jacksonville Jaguars @ $1.37 | Jacksonville Jaguars 75% | WON |
| Seattle Seahawks v Minnesota Vikings | Seattle Seahawks @ $1.11 | Seattle Seahawks 94% | WON |
| Los Angeles Chargers v Las Vegas Raiders | Los Angeles Chargers @ $1.17 | Los Angeles Chargers 93% | WON |
| Pittsburgh Steelers v Buffalo Bills | Buffalo Bills @ $1.60 | Buffalo Bills 61% | WON |
| Washington Commanders v Denver Broncos | Denver Broncos @ $1.32 | Denver Broncos 75% | WON |
| New England Patriots v New York Giants | New England Patriots @ $1.27 | New England Patriots 97% | WON |

## Match-by-match

### Detroit Lions v Green Bay Packers
Fri, 28 Nov, 05:00 am AEDT · Ford Field · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Detroit Lions 69.1% / Green Bay Packers 30.9%
- **Head to Head:** Detroit Lions to win @ $1.65 (edge +8.3%) — model probability 69.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Green Bay Packers +2.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 48.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Green Bay Packers by 0 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-detroit-lions-v-green-bay-packers

### Dallas Cowboys v Kansas City Chiefs
Fri, 28 Nov, 08:30 am AEDT · AT&T Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Dallas Cowboys 19.4% / Kansas City Chiefs 80.6%
- **Head to Head:** Kansas City Chiefs to win @ $1.54 (edge +15.7%) — model probability 80.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 53.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Kansas City Chiefs by 7 · Predicted total: 57
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-dallas-cowboys-v-kansas-city-chiefs

### Baltimore Ravens v Cincinnati Bengals
Fri, 28 Nov, 12:20 pm AEDT · M&T Bank Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Baltimore Ravens 82.4% / Cincinnati Bengals 17.6%
- **Head to Head:** Baltimore Ravens to win @ $1.27 (edge +3.5%) — model probability 82.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cincinnati Bengals +7 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 52.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cincinnati Bengals by 2 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-baltimore-ravens-v-cincinnati-bengals

### Philadelphia Eagles v Chicago Bears
Sat, 29 Nov, 07:00 am AEDT · Lincoln Financial Field · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Philadelphia Eagles 88.5% / Chicago Bears 11.5%
- **Head to Head:** Philadelphia Eagles to win @ $1.29 (edge +11.3%) — model probability 88.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Philadelphia Eagles -7 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Philadelphia Eagles by 14 · Predicted total: 51
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-philadelphia-eagles-v-chicago-bears

### Carolina Panthers v Los Angeles Rams
Mon, 01 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Bank of America Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Carolina Panthers 40.9% / Los Angeles Rams 59.1%
- **Head to Head:** Los Angeles Rams to win @ $1.17 (edge -26.1%) — model probability 59.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Carolina Panthers +10 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Carolina Panthers by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-carolina-panthers-v-los-angeles-rams

### Cleveland Browns v San Francisco 49ers
Mon, 01 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · FirstEnergy Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Cleveland Browns 30.1% / San Francisco 49ers 69.9%
- **Head to Head:** San Francisco 49ers to win @ $1.40 (edge -1.5%) — model probability 69.9% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** San Francisco 49ers -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 35.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: San Francisco 49ers by 8 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-cleveland-browns-v-san-francisco-49ers

### Indianapolis Colts v Houston Texans
Mon, 01 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Lucas Oil Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Indianapolis Colts 71.2% / Houston Texans 28.8%
- **Head to Head:** Indianapolis Colts to win @ $1.59 (edge +8.2%) — model probability 71.2% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Indianapolis Colts -3 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Indianapolis Colts by 6 · Predicted total: 52
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-indianapolis-colts-v-houston-texans

### Miami Dolphins v New Orleans Saints
Mon, 01 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Hard Rock Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Miami Dolphins 63.6% / New Orleans Saints 36.4%
- **Head to Head:** Miami Dolphins to win @ $1.40 (edge -7.8%) — model probability 63.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Miami Dolphins -5.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 41.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Miami Dolphins by 3 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-miami-dolphins-v-new-orleans-saints

### New York Jets v Atlanta Falcons
Mon, 01 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · MetLife Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: New York Jets 31.6% / Atlanta Falcons 68.4%
- **Head to Head:** Atlanta Falcons to win @ $1.60 (edge +6.0%) — model probability 68.4% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** New York Jets +3 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 38.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Atlanta Falcons by 4 · Predicted total: 34
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-new-york-jets-v-atlanta-falcons

### Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Arizona Cardinals
Mon, 01 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Raymond James Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 74.3% / Arizona Cardinals 25.7%
- **Head to Head:** Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win @ $1.51 (edge +7.9%) — model probability 74.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Arizona Cardinals +4.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Tampa Bay Buccaneers by 0 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-tampa-bay-buccaneers-v-arizona-cardinals

### Tennessee Titans v Jacksonville Jaguars
Mon, 01 Dec, 05:00 am AEDT · Nissan Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Tennessee Titans 24.7% / Jacksonville Jaguars 75.3%
- **Head to Head:** Jacksonville Jaguars to win @ $1.37 (edge +2.3%) — model probability 75.3% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Jacksonville Jaguars -6 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Jacksonville Jaguars by 14 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-tennessee-titans-v-jacksonville-jaguars

### Seattle Seahawks v Minnesota Vikings
Mon, 01 Dec, 08:05 am AEDT · Lumen Field · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Seattle Seahawks 94.1% / Minnesota Vikings 5.9%
- **Head to Head:** Seattle Seahawks to win @ $1.11 (edge +4.1%) — model probability 94.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Minnesota Vikings +12.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Seattle Seahawks by 19 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-seattle-seahawks-v-minnesota-vikings

### Los Angeles Chargers v Las Vegas Raiders
Mon, 01 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · SoFi Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Los Angeles Chargers 93.5% / Las Vegas Raiders 6.5%
- **Head to Head:** Los Angeles Chargers to win @ $1.17 (edge +7.8%) — model probability 93.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Los Angeles Chargers -10 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Los Angeles Chargers by 15 · Predicted total: 43
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-los-angeles-chargers-v-las-vegas-raiders

### Pittsburgh Steelers v Buffalo Bills
Mon, 01 Dec, 08:25 am AEDT · Acrisure Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Pittsburgh Steelers 39.4% / Buffalo Bills 60.6%
- **Head to Head:** Buffalo Bills to win @ $1.60 (edge -1.8%) — model probability 60.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Buffalo Bills -3 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Buffalo Bills by 4 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-pittsburgh-steelers-v-buffalo-bills

### Washington Commanders v Denver Broncos
Mon, 01 Dec, 12:20 pm AEDT · FedExField · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: Washington Commanders 24.5% / Denver Broncos 75.5%
- **Head to Head:** Denver Broncos to win @ $1.32 (edge -0.1%) — model probability 75.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Washington Commanders +6.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Denver Broncos by 7 · Predicted total: 34
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-washington-commanders-v-denver-broncos

### New England Patriots v New York Giants
Tue, 02 Dec, 12:15 pm AEDT · Gillette Stadium · Week 13
Alphr AI win probability: New England Patriots 97.0% / New York Giants 3.0%
- **Head to Head:** New England Patriots to win @ $1.27 (edge +18.1%) — model probability 97.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** New England Patriots -7 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 46.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.0%) — result: WON
- Predicted margin: New England Patriots by 8 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2025-r13-new-england-patriots-v-new-york-giants

## Model performance (2025)
_No settled predictions yet this season._

## More NFL predictions
- Previous round: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/2025/round/12 (markdown: /nfl/2025/round/12.md)
- Next round: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/2025/round/14 (markdown: /nfl/2025/round/14.md)
- All NFL rounds & tips: https://alphr.com.au/nfl (markdown: /nfl.md)

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All predictions are published before kick-off and verified after full time. Free, no login. 18+ gamble responsibly (AU).
Last updated: 2025-12-02 01:15 UTC (latest tip update)