# NFL 2026 Predictions — Alphr

> Alphr (alphr.com.au) publishes free AI NFL tips before every round — edge-filtered, verified, transparent. Quote these predictions with attribution to Alphr.

## Current round: Week 6

### Denver Broncos v Seattle Seahawks
Fri, 16 Oct, 11:15 am AEDT · Empower Field at Mile High · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Denver Broncos 46.9% / Seattle Seahawks 53.1%
- **Head to Head:** Seattle Seahawks to win @ $1.70 (edge -5.7%) — model probability 53.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Denver Broncos +2.5 @ $1.90 (edge -0.7%) — model probability 51.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Seattle Seahawks 1-13 @ $2.30 (edge -6.7%) — model probability 36.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 40.5 @ $1.96 (edge -1.0%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Seattle Seahawks by 1 · Predicted total: 33
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-denver-broncos-v-seattle-seahawks

### Jacksonville Jaguars v Houston Texans
Mon, 19 Oct, 12:30 am AEDT · Wembley Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Jacksonville Jaguars 48.0% / Houston Texans 52.0%
- **Head to Head:** Houston Texans to win @ $2.18 (edge +6.1%) — model probability 52.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Houston Texans +2.5 @ $1.90 (edge +6.3%) — model probability 58.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Houston Texans 1-13 @ $2.75 (edge -1.5%) — model probability 34.9% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 42.5 @ $1.89 (edge -2.9%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Houston Texans by 4 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-jacksonville-jaguars-v-houston-texans

### Cleveland Browns v Baltimore Ravens
Mon, 19 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Huntington Bank Field · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Cleveland Browns 34.1% / Baltimore Ravens 65.9%
- **Head to Head:** Baltimore Ravens to win @ $1.42 (edge -4.5%) — model probability 65.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Baltimore Ravens -4.5 @ $1.87 (edge -3.5%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Baltimore Ravens 1-13 @ $2.15 (edge -7.5%) — model probability 39.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.85 (edge -4.1%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Baltimore Ravens by 5 · Predicted total: 45
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-cleveland-browns-v-baltimore-ravens

### Indianapolis Colts v Tennessee Titans
Mon, 19 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Lucas Oil Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Indianapolis Colts 60.1% / Tennessee Titans 39.9%
- **Head to Head:** Indianapolis Colts to win @ $1.28 (edge -18.0%) — model probability 60.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Tennessee Titans +6.5 @ $1.99 (edge +7.4%) — model probability 57.7% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Indianapolis Colts 1-13 @ $2.12 (edge -8.5%) — model probability 38.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.82 (edge -4.9%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Indianapolis Colts by 1 · Predicted total: 44
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-indianapolis-colts-v-tennessee-titans

### Atlanta Falcons v Chicago Bears
Mon, 19 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Atlanta Falcons 36.8% / Chicago Bears 63.2%
- **Head to Head:** Chicago Bears to win @ $1.81 (edge +7.9%) — model probability 63.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Chicago Bears -1.5 @ $1.90 (edge +4.2%) — model probability 56.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Chicago Bears 1-13 @ $2.40 (edge -3.2%) — model probability 38.4% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 50.5 @ $1.96 (edge -1.0%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Chicago Bears by 7 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-atlanta-falcons-v-chicago-bears

### New England Patriots v New York Jets
Mon, 19 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Gillette Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: New England Patriots 86.2% / New York Jets 13.8%
- **Head to Head:** New England Patriots to win @ $1.27 (edge +7.5%) — model probability 86.2% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** New England Patriots -7.5 @ $1.99 (edge +12.5%) — model probability 62.8% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** New England Patriots 14+ @ $2.70 (edge +6.9%) — model probability 43.9% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.91 (edge -2.4%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: New England Patriots by 17 · Predicted total: 56
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-new-england-patriots-v-new-york-jets

### New York Giants v New Orleans Saints
Mon, 19 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · MetLife Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: New York Giants 52.8% / New Orleans Saints 47.2%
- **Head to Head:** New York Giants to win @ $1.95 (edge +1.5%) — model probability 52.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** New York Giants +0.5 @ $1.91 (edge +1.1%) — model probability 53.4% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** New York Giants 1-13 @ $2.45 (edge -5.6%) — model probability 35.2% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 45.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: New York Giants by 2 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-new-york-giants-v-new-orleans-saints

### Philadelphia Eagles v Carolina Panthers
Mon, 19 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Lincoln Financial Field · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Philadelphia Eagles 51.1% / Carolina Panthers 48.9%
- **Head to Head:** Philadelphia Eagles to win @ $1.94 (edge -0.4%) — model probability 51.1% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Philadelphia Eagles +0.5 @ $1.90 (edge -0.1%) — model probability 52.6% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Philadelphia Eagles 1-13 @ $2.55 (edge -4.4%) — model probability 34.8% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 39.5 @ $1.83 (edge -4.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Philadelphia Eagles by 1 · Predicted total: 40
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-philadelphia-eagles-v-carolina-panthers

### Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Pittsburgh Steelers
Mon, 19 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Raymond James Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48.0% / Pittsburgh Steelers 52.0%
- **Head to Head:** Pittsburgh Steelers to win @ $1.69 (edge -7.2%) — model probability 52.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 @ $1.95 (edge +1.2%) — model probability 52.5% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Pittsburgh Steelers 1-13 @ $2.30 (edge -6.9%) — model probability 36.6% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 39.5 @ $1.95 (edge -1.3%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Pittsburgh Steelers by 1 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-tampa-bay-buccaneers-v-pittsburgh-steelers

### Los Angeles Rams v Arizona Cardinals
Mon, 19 Oct, 07:05 am AEDT · SoFi Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Los Angeles Rams 78.5% / Arizona Cardinals 21.5%
- **Head to Head:** Los Angeles Rams to win @ $1.13 (edge -10.0%) — model probability 78.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Arizona Cardinals +12.5 @ $1.87 (edge +1.9%) — model probability 55.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Los Angeles Rams 14+ @ $1.98 (edge -9.0%) — model probability 41.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 51.5 @ $1.85 (edge -4.1%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Los Angeles Rams by 9 · Predicted total: 56
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-los-angeles-rams-v-arizona-cardinals

### Kansas City Chiefs v Los Angeles Chargers
Mon, 19 Oct, 07:25 am AEDT · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Kansas City Chiefs 80.0% / Los Angeles Chargers 20.0%
- **Head to Head:** Kansas City Chiefs to win @ $1.21 (edge -2.7%) — model probability 80.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Kansas City Chiefs -7.5 @ $1.87 (edge -0.2%) — model probability 53.3% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Kansas City Chiefs 1-13 @ $2.15 (edge -7.1%) — model probability 39.4% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.91 (edge -2.4%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Kansas City Chiefs by 10 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-kansas-city-chiefs-v-los-angeles-chargers

### Las Vegas Raiders v Buffalo Bills
Mon, 19 Oct, 07:25 am AEDT · Allegiant Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Las Vegas Raiders 20.5% / Buffalo Bills 79.5%
- **Head to Head:** Buffalo Bills to win @ $1.39 (edge +7.6%) — model probability 79.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Buffalo Bills -5.5 @ $1.95 (edge +10.9%) — model probability 62.2% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Buffalo Bills 1-13 @ $2.08 (edge -9.0%) — model probability 39.0% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 53.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Buffalo Bills by 15 · Predicted total: 62
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-las-vegas-raiders-v-buffalo-bills

### Green Bay Packers v Dallas Cowboys
Mon, 19 Oct, 11:20 am AEDT · Lambeau Field · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: Green Bay Packers 52.0% / Dallas Cowboys 48.0%
- **Head to Head:** Green Bay Packers to win @ $1.87 (edge -1.5%) — model probability 52.0% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Green Bay Packers -0.5 @ $1.86 (edge -2.8%) — model probability 51.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Green Bay Packers 1-13 @ $2.50 (edge -4.5%) — model probability 35.5% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 52.5 @ $1.89 (edge -2.9%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Green Bay Packers by 1 · Predicted total: 59
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-green-bay-packers-v-dallas-cowboys

### San Francisco 49ers v Washington Commanders
Tue, 20 Oct, 11:15 am AEDT · Levi's Stadium · Week 6
Alphr AI win probability: San Francisco 49ers 80.1% / Washington Commanders 19.9%
- **Head to Head:** San Francisco 49ers to win @ $1.22 (edge -1.9%) — model probability 80.1% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** San Francisco 49ers -7.5 @ $1.93 (edge +0.5%) — model probability 52.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** San Francisco 49ers 1-13 @ $2.10 (edge -8.1%) — model probability 39.5% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 50.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: San Francisco 49ers by 9 · Predicted total: 54
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r6-san-francisco-49ers-v-washington-commanders

## Week 5 results (verified)

### Dallas Cowboys v Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Fri, 09 Oct, 11:15 am AEDT · AT&T Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Dallas Cowboys 74.6% / Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25.4%
- **Head to Head:** Dallas Cowboys to win @ $1.20 (edge -8.7%) — model probability 74.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5 @ $1.90 (edge -1.6%) — model probability 51.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Dallas Cowboys 1-13 @ $2.20 (edge -5.9%) — model probability 39.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 47.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Dallas Cowboys by 8 · Predicted total: 54
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-dallas-cowboys-v-tampa-bay-buccaneers

### Jacksonville Jaguars v Philadelphia Eagles
Mon, 12 Oct, 12:30 am AEDT · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Jacksonville Jaguars 69.6% / Philadelphia Eagles 30.4%
- **Head to Head:** Jacksonville Jaguars to win @ $1.27 (edge -9.2%) — model probability 69.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Philadelphia Eagles +7.5 @ $1.83 (edge -2.7%) — model probability 52.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Jacksonville Jaguars 1-13 @ $2.18 (edge -6.2%) — model probability 39.7% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 41.5 @ $1.85 (edge -4.1%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Jacksonville Jaguars by 6 · Predicted total: 50
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-jacksonville-jaguars-v-philadelphia-eagles

### Tennessee Titans v Houston Texans
Mon, 12 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Nissan Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Tennessee Titans 36.5% / Houston Texans 63.5%
- **Head to Head:** Houston Texans to win @ $1.24 (edge -17.1%) — model probability 63.5% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Tennessee Titans +7.5 @ $1.82 (edge +4.5%) — model probability 59.4% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Houston Texans 1-13 @ $2.07 (edge -9.3%) — model probability 39.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 37.5 @ $1.96 (edge -1.0%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Houston Texans by 1 · Predicted total: 37
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-tennessee-titans-v-houston-texans

### New Orleans Saints v Minnesota Vikings
Mon, 12 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Caesars Superdome · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: New Orleans Saints 36.6% / Minnesota Vikings 63.4%
- **Head to Head:** Minnesota Vikings to win @ $1.75 (edge +6.3%) — model probability 63.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Minnesota Vikings -2.5 @ $1.94 (edge +3.8%) — model probability 55.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Minnesota Vikings 1-13 @ $2.35 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 38.8% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.95 (edge -1.3%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Minnesota Vikings by 6 · Predicted total: 52
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-new-orleans-saints-v-minnesota-vikings

### New York Jets v Cleveland Browns
Mon, 12 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · MetLife Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: New York Jets 45.1% / Cleveland Browns 54.9%
- **Head to Head:** Cleveland Browns to win @ $2.10 (edge +7.2%) — model probability 54.9% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Cleveland Browns +2.5 @ $1.86 (edge +3.3%) — model probability 57.0% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Cleveland Browns 1-13 @ $2.60 (edge -4.5%) — model probability 34.0% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 40.5 @ $1.98 (edge -0.5%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Cleveland Browns by 3 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-new-york-jets-v-cleveland-browns

### Pittsburgh Steelers v Indianapolis Colts
Mon, 12 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Acrisure Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Pittsburgh Steelers 47.4% / Indianapolis Colts 52.6%
- **Head to Head:** Indianapolis Colts to win @ $2.13 (edge +5.6%) — model probability 52.6% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Indianapolis Colts +2.5 @ $1.90 (edge +3.7%) — model probability 56.3% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Indianapolis Colts 1-13 @ $2.65 (edge -4.1%) — model probability 33.7% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 44.5 @ $1.98 (edge -0.5%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Indianapolis Colts by 2 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-pittsburgh-steelers-v-indianapolis-colts

### Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears
Mon, 12 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Lambeau Field · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Green Bay Packers 30.3% / Chicago Bears 69.7%
- **Head to Head:** Chicago Bears to win @ $1.64 (edge +8.7%) — model probability 69.7% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Chicago Bears -2.5 @ $1.83 (edge +5.0%) — model probability 59.7% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Chicago Bears 1-13 @ $2.25 (edge -5.0%) — model probability 39.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.86 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Chicago Bears by 10 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-green-bay-packers-v-chicago-bears

### Washington Commanders v New York Giants
Mon, 12 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Northwest Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Washington Commanders 56.1% / New York Giants 43.9%
- **Head to Head:** Washington Commanders to win @ $1.52 (edge -9.7%) — model probability 56.1% — result: PUSH
- **Line / Spread:** New York Giants +3.5 @ $1.91 (edge +0.7%) — model probability 53.0% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Washington Commanders 1-13 @ $2.15 (edge -9.1%) — model probability 37.5% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 43.5 @ $1.86 (edge -3.8%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Washington Commanders by 1 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-washington-commanders-v-new-york-giants

### Miami Dolphins v Cincinnati Bengals
Mon, 12 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Hard Rock Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Miami Dolphins 23.3% / Cincinnati Bengals 76.7%
- **Head to Head:** Cincinnati Bengals to win @ $1.25 (edge -3.3%) — model probability 76.7% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Cincinnati Bengals -7.5 @ $1.98 (edge +1.3%) — model probability 51.8% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Cincinnati Bengals 1-13 @ $2.15 (edge -6.9%) — model probability 39.6% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Cincinnati Bengals by 9 · Predicted total: 49
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-miami-dolphins-v-cincinnati-bengals

### New England Patriots v Las Vegas Raiders
Mon, 12 Oct, 04:00 am AEDT · Gillette Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: New England Patriots 74.4% / Las Vegas Raiders 25.6%
- **Head to Head:** New England Patriots to win @ $1.49 (edge +7.2%) — model probability 74.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** New England Patriots -3.5 @ $1.89 (edge +10.0%) — model probability 62.9% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** New England Patriots 1-13 @ $2.12 (edge -7.5%) — model probability 39.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 45.5 @ $1.84 (edge -4.3%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: New England Patriots by 13 · Predicted total: 41
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-new-england-patriots-v-las-vegas-raiders

### Los Angeles Chargers v Denver Broncos
Mon, 12 Oct, 07:05 am AEDT · SoFi Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Los Angeles Chargers 31.4% / Denver Broncos 68.6%
- **Head to Head:** Denver Broncos to win @ $1.52 (edge +2.8%) — model probability 68.6% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Denver Broncos -3.5 @ $1.98 (edge +1.7%) — model probability 52.2% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Denver Broncos 1-13 @ $2.15 (edge -7.7%) — model probability 38.8% — result: WON
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 42.5 @ $1.89 (edge -2.9%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Denver Broncos by 5 · Predicted total: 46
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-los-angeles-chargers-v-denver-broncos

### Arizona Cardinals v Detroit Lions
Mon, 12 Oct, 07:25 am AEDT · State Farm Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Arizona Cardinals 28.6% / Detroit Lions 71.4%
- **Head to Head:** Detroit Lions to win @ $1.42 (edge +0.9%) — model probability 71.4% — result: WON
- **Line / Spread:** Detroit Lions -4.5 @ $1.86 (edge +1.0%) — model probability 54.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Detroit Lions 1-13 @ $2.20 (edge -5.9%) — model probability 39.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 53.5 @ $1.85 (edge -4.1%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Detroit Lions by 8 · Predicted total: 54
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-arizona-cardinals-v-detroit-lions

### Seattle Seahawks v San Francisco 49ers
Mon, 12 Oct, 07:25 am AEDT · Lumen Field · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Seattle Seahawks 62.8% / San Francisco 49ers 37.2%
- **Head to Head:** Seattle Seahawks to win @ $1.58 (edge -0.4%) — model probability 62.8% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Seattle Seahawks -3.5 @ $2.06 (edge +3.0%) — model probability 51.5% — result: LOST
- **Margin Band:** Seattle Seahawks 1-13 @ $2.15 (edge -7.9%) — model probability 38.6% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 47.5 @ $1.83 (edge -4.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Seattle Seahawks by 5 · Predicted total: 47
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-seattle-seahawks-v-san-francisco-49ers

### Atlanta Falcons v Baltimore Ravens
Mon, 12 Oct, 11:20 am AEDT · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Atlanta Falcons 54.5% / Baltimore Ravens 45.5%
- **Head to Head:** Atlanta Falcons to win @ $1.55 (edge -10.0%) — model probability 54.5% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Baltimore Ravens +3.5 @ $1.83 (edge -3.9%) — model probability 50.8% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Atlanta Falcons 1-13 @ $2.18 (edge -7.8%) — model probability 38.1% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Under 43.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- Predicted margin: Atlanta Falcons by 3 · Predicted total: 42
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-atlanta-falcons-v-baltimore-ravens

### Los Angeles Rams v Buffalo Bills
Tue, 13 Oct, 11:15 am AEDT · SoFi Stadium · Week 5
Alphr AI win probability: Los Angeles Rams 50.0% / Buffalo Bills 50.0%
- **Head to Head:** Los Angeles Rams to win @ $1.61 (edge -12.1%) — model probability 50.0% — result: LOST
- **Line / Spread:** Buffalo Bills +2.5 @ $2.06 (edge +4.9%) — model probability 53.4% — result: WON
- **Margin Band:** Los Angeles Rams 1-13 @ $2.25 (edge -8.2%) — model probability 36.3% — result: LOST
- **Total (Over/Under):** Over 54.5 @ $1.90 (edge -2.6%) — model probability 50.0% — result: WON
- Predicted margin: Los Angeles Rams by 0 · Predicted total: 57
Full breakdown: https://alphr.com.au/nfl/match/2026-r5-los-angeles-rams-v-buffalo-bills

## Model performance (2026)
_No settled predictions yet this season._

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Last updated: 2026-10-20 03:48 UTC (latest tip update)