# Alphr

> Free AI-powered sports predictions for AFL, NRL and Super League, built from machine-learning models trained on historical match data and published before kick-off. Transparent, verified and edge-filtered, with every tip tracked publicly after the result.

Alphr (alphr.com.au) is a free Australian AI sports prediction platform operated by A Circle Media Group PTY LTD. We publish time-stamped predictions before every match, keep the full pre-match and post-match record visible, and make the methodology and track record public so the output can be checked. Alphr does not accept bets and is not a licensed bookmaker — it is an informational and analytical service focused on sports forecasting.

Last updated: 2026-07-22

**Entity identifiers:** Brand: Alphr · Legal entity: A Circle Media Group PTY LTD · Domain: alphr.com.au · Country: Australia · Industry: Sports analytics / AI predictions · Related entity: RaceAlpha (racealpha.com.au) · Subject entities: AFL (Wikidata Q264832), NRL (Wikidata Q36208), NBA (Wikidata Q155223)

**Full reference for LLMs** — model architecture, per-market track record, Q&A, methodology and entity data: https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt

## Current Round Predictions (live)

This section is regenerated automatically. Each sport is anchored to its own current round: when this week's round is already tipped it is shown as **Upcoming predictions**; when the next round has not been published yet, the most recent completed round is shown as **Previous round** with the upcoming round flagged as coming soon. It indexes every published tip so AI crawlers can locate and link directly to predictions.

### AFL, Round 20 (2026) — Upcoming predictions

Status: Upcoming — this week's predictions for the current round, published before kickoff.
Round page: https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/20
Today JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today
Weekly JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly

- **Adelaide Crows v Collingwood**, Thu, 23 July, 07:30 pm @ Adelaide Oval
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/2026-r20-adelaide-crows-v-collingwood
  - H2H: Collingwood @ $2.84 | model 57.2% | edge +22.0%
  - Margin: Collingwood (predicted -0.5 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +15.0%
  - Total: Over (predicted 167.9) @ $1.85 | edge +90.0%

### NRL, Round 21 (2026) — Upcoming predictions

Status: Upcoming — this week's predictions for the current round, published before kickoff.
Round page: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/21
Today JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today
Weekly JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly

- **Eels v Panthers**, Thu, 23 July, 07:50 pm @ CommBank Stadium
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-eels-v-panthers
  - H2H: Panthers @ $1.16 | model 72.1% | edge -9.4%
  - Margin: Eels (predicted -9.7 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Over (predicted 49.1) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Anytime Try Scorer: Thomas Jenkins @ $1.62, Casey McLean @ $2.15, Araz Nanva @ $4.60, Brian To'o @ $1.64, Dylan Edwards @ $2.20
  - First Try Scorer: Thomas Jenkins @ $6.50, Araz Nanva @ $21.00, Isaiah Iongi @ $17.00
- **Knights v Roosters**, Fri, 24 July, 06:00 pm @ McDonald Jones Stadium
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-knights-v-roosters
  - H2H: Roosters @ $1.71 | model 55.0% | edge -70.0%
  - Margin: Knights (predicted -2.4 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Under (predicted 44.0) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Anytime Try Scorer: Billy Smith @ $2.65, Robert Toia @ $2.70, Daniel Tupou @ $1.73, Mark Nawaqanitawase @ $1.70, Dylan Lucas @ $2.90
  - First Try Scorer: Greg Marzhew @ $11.00, Daniel Tupou @ $8.00, Dylan Lucas @ $13.00
- **Rabbitohs v Storm**, Fri, 24 July, 08:00 pm @ Accor Stadium
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-rabbitohs-v-storm
  - H2H: Storm @ $1.85 | model 57.1% | edge +5.1%
  - Margin: Rabbitohs (predicted -0.9 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Under (predicted 43.7) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Anytime Try Scorer: Alex Johnston @ $1.67, Moses Leo @ $1.88, Jahrome Hughes @ $3.25, Campbell Graham @ $1.95, Latrell Siegwalt @ $3.35
  - First Try Scorer: Alex Johnston @ $8.00, Moses Leo @ $9.50, Jahrome Hughes @ $14.00
- **Raiders v Wests Tigers**, Sat, 25 July, 03:00 pm @ GIO Stadium
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-raiders-v-wests-tigers
  - H2H: Raiders @ $1.22 | model 73.9% | edge -3.8%
  - Margin: Wests Tigers (predicted 11.8 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Under (predicted 45.0) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Anytime Try Scorer: Simi Sasagi @ $2.03, Xavier Savage @ $1.54, Ethan Strange @ $2.60, Junior Tupou @ $2.20, Kaeo Weekes @ $1.72
  - First Try Scorer: Xavier Savage @ $8.00, Simi Sasagi @ $11.00, Junior Tupou @ $12.00
- **Bulldogs v Warriors**, Sat, 25 July, 05:30 pm @ Accor Stadium
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-bulldogs-v-warriors
  - H2H: Warriors @ $1.53 | model 57.7% | edge -4.5%
  - Margin: Bulldogs (predicted -2.5 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Over (predicted 44.5) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Anytime Try Scorer: Alofiana Khan-Pereira @ $1.65, Stephen Crichton @ $3.70, Adam Pompey @ $3.15, Jethro Rinakama @ $2.15, Dallin Watene-Zelezniak @ $1.63
  - First Try Scorer: Alofiana Khan-Pereira @ $7.50, Jethro Rinakama @ $10.00, Stephen Crichton @ $15.00
- **Cowboys v Broncos**, Sat, 25 July, 07:35 pm @ Queensland Country Bank Stadium
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-cowboys-v-broncos
  - H2H: Broncos @ $1.72 | model 53.3% | edge -2.1%
  - Margin: Cowboys (predicted -2.1 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Under (predicted 43.2) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Anytime Try Scorer: Jeremiah Nanai @ $2.70, Tom Chester @ $3.20, Braidon Burns @ $1.83, Scott Drinkwater @ $2.50, Josiah Karapani @ $1.78
  - First Try Scorer: Braidon Burns @ $9.50, Jeremiah Nanai @ $13.00, Scott Drinkwater @ $13.00
- **Dragons v Titans**, Sun, 26 July, 02:00 pm @ St George Venues Jubilee Stadium
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-dragons-v-titans
  - H2H: Dragons @ $1.91 | model 55.5% | edge +5.4%
  - Margin: Dragons (predicted 0.7 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Under (predicted 44.1) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Anytime Try Scorer: Phillip Sami @ $2.02, Jojo Fifita @ $2.70, Dean Ieremia @ $2.25, Valentine Holmes @ $2.35, Jayden Campbell @ $2.80
  - First Try Scorer: Phillip Sami @ $10.00, Valentine Holmes @ $11.00, Tyrell Sloan @ $9.00
- **Sea Eagles v Sharks**, Sun, 26 July, 04:05 pm @ 4 Pines Park
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-r21-sea-eagles-v-sharks
  - H2H: Sharks @ $1.63 | model 55.1% | edge -3.2%
  - Margin: Sharks (predicted -8.3 pts) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Over (predicted 50.0) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%
  - Anytime Try Scorer: Lehi Hopoate @ $2.80, Jason Saab @ $1.94, Haumole Olakau'atu @ $2.85, Sione Katoa @ $1.87, KL Iro @ $2.50
  - First Try Scorer: Jason Saab @ $10.00, Haumole Olakau'atu @ $13.00, Sione Katoa @ $9.00

### Super League, Round 20 (2026) — Upcoming predictions

Status: Upcoming — this week's predictions for the current round, published before kickoff.
Round page: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/20
Today JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today
Weekly JSON API: https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly

- **Hull FC v Hull KR**, Fri, 24 July, 05:00 am @ Venue: MKM Stadium
  - URL: https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/2026-r20-hull-fc-v-hull-kr
  - H2H: Hull KR @ $1.45 | model 57.6% | edge -11.3%
  - Margin: Hull KR (predicted -10.5 pts) @ $1.92 | edge +0.0%
  - Total: Over (predicted 45.3) @ $1.91 | edge +0.0%

## State of Origin

Upcoming: Game 3 2026 — Thu 9 Jul 2026, 8:05pm AEST · Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Prediction page: https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/2026-blues-v-maroons-state-of-origin-game-3
- H2H: New South Wales | @ $2.50 | model 90.8% | edge +52.5%
- Margin: New South Wales +5.5 (predicted -10.4 pts) @ $1.90
- Total: Under 44.5 (predicted 38.0) @ $1.84
- ATS: Selwyn Cobbo @ $1.98, Stephen Crichton @ $3.40, Robert Toia @ $2.95
- FTS: Selwyn Cobbo @ $9.00, Robert Toia @ $15.00, Bradman Best @ $17.00

**Key facts:**
- Site: https://alphr.com.au
- Cost: Free — no account, subscription or payment required
- Sports live: AFL (2026), NRL (2026), Super League (2026). NBA in development.
- Model: Multi-model XGBoost ensemble. Only picks with ≥7% edge over bookmaker-implied probability are published (AFL & NRL). Super League is currently model-only (odds ingestion pending).
- Track record: AFL 2025 — 81.9% H2H accuracy, 73.0% strike rate (648 tips). NRL 2025 — 61.5% H2H, Margin Band +14.8% ROI. Super League 2024-25 held-out — 65.87% overall (660/1,002).
- Methodology: every prediction published before match start and verified against official results; models validated on held-out seasons.

## Sports Covered

- **AFL** (Australian Football League): Live every round of 2026. 2025 archive at alphr.com.au/afl/2025. 81.9% H2H accuracy in 2025.
- **NRL** (National Rugby League): Live every round of 2026. 2025 archive at alphr.com.au/nrl/2025. 61.5% H2H strike rate in 2025 (131/213).
- **Super League** (Betfred Super League, UK): Live every round of 2026. 2024-25 held-out backtest: 65.87% overall (660/1,002). alphr.com.au/super-league.
- **NBA** (National Basketball Association): In development.

## Site Architecture (for LLM navigation)

- [Homepage](https://alphr.com.au): Latest predictions across AFL, NRL and Super League
- [Sports hub](https://alphr.com.au/sports): All sports with live/coming-soon status
- [AFL hub](https://alphr.com.au/afl): AFL season overview and round-by-round tracking
- [AFL 2025 archive](https://alphr.com.au/afl/2025): Complete 2025 AFL season results
- [AFL round](https://alphr.com.au/afl/round/[round]): Per-round AFL tips and results
- [AFL match](https://alphr.com.au/afl/match/[slug]): Per-match analysis, ELO breakdown, key factors
- [AFL teams directory](https://alphr.com.au/afl/teams): All 18 AFL team entity pages (sameAs Wikidata)
- [NRL hub](https://alphr.com.au/nrl): NRL season overview and round-by-round tracking
- [NRL 2025 archive](https://alphr.com.au/nrl/2025): Complete 2025 NRL season results
- [NRL round](https://alphr.com.au/nrl/round/[round]): Per-round NRL tips and results
- [NRL match](https://alphr.com.au/nrl/match/[slug]): Per-match NRL analysis and model outputs
- [Super League hub](https://alphr.com.au/super-league): Super League overview and round-by-round tracking
- [Super League 2025 archive](https://alphr.com.au/super-league/2025): Complete 2025 Super League season results
- [Super League round](https://alphr.com.au/super-league/round/[round]): Per-round Super League tips and results
- [Super League match](https://alphr.com.au/super-league/match/[slug]): Per-match Super League analysis
- [Accuracy report](https://alphr.com.au/accuracy): Full model performance metrics for all sports
- [World Cup 2026 simulator](https://alphr.com.au/world-cup): Free interactive FIFA World Cup 2026 bracket predictor
- [Today JSON API](https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/today): Schema.org DataFeed of today's current-round predictions (5-min cache, no auth)
- [Weekly JSON API](https://alphr.com.au/api/predictions/weekly): Schema.org DataFeed of weekly current-round predictions for AFL, NRL and Super League (5-min cache, no auth)
- [Full LLM reference](https://alphr.com.au/llms-full.txt): Model architecture, per-market track record, Q&A, methodology, Wikidata entities
- [Privacy](https://alphr.com.au/privacy) · [Terms](https://alphr.com.au/terms)

## Responsible Gambling

Alphr is not a bookmaking service and receives no bets. For informational and entertainment purposes only; past model performance does not guarantee future results. If gambling is affecting you or someone you know, call the Gambling Help Hotline: **1800 858 858** or visit **gamblinghelponline.org.au**.